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<b>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; --- &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<b>UPDATED: </b>08-05-25     15:01 PDT<BR></b></p>
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<title>  men Jacksonville                   1</title> 
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<b>Jacksonville        </b>  <img src="029_md1.gif" width="100" height="67"><BR>W-L: (<B> 9- 5)  PR =    92.4699</B>
 <H1>Schedule/Results All Games</H1> 

<B> Date  Opponent               Conf/State      (W-L, PR)      Score  </b>
 201 A Syracuse               ACC           (12- 5, 97.6)     5-24   
 208 H Duke                   ACC           (13- 5, 97.2)     9-14   
 215 H Marist                 MAAC          ( 8- 8, 91.3)    15-12   
 222 H Hampton                CAA           ( 0-15, 81.1)    21- 6   
 228 A St Johns               Big East      ( 4-11, 90.2)    11-10   
 302 A Iona                   MAAC          ( 2-13, 86.5)    18- 4   
 308 N High Point             Atlantic 10   ( 7- 9, 93.0)    11- 9   
 316 A No Carolina            ACC           (11- 4, 97.4)     7-20   
 329 H Air Force              ASUN          ( 8- 8, 92.2)    15-11   
 405 A Queens                 ASUN          ( 3-11, 87.7)    11- 6   
 412 A Utah                   ASUN          ( 6- 9, 93.3)    14-17   
 419 H Bellarmine             ASUN          ( 8- 9, 89.8)    18- 5   
 426 H Mercer                 ASUN          ( 2-11, 87.4)    16-12   
 502 H Air Force              ASUN          ( 8- 8, 92.2)    12-15   
</pre></td></tr></table>
</pre></td></tr></table>
 <H2>PREDICTION LIST</H2>

<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse;margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   201 A Syracuse                5-24     -19    -6           0.00
   208 H Duke                    9-14      -5    -4          -1.14
   215 H Marist                 15-12       3     2           0.96
   222 H Hampton                21- 6      15    12           0.00
   228 A St Johns               11-10       1     1          -0.41
   302 A Iona                   18- 4      14     5           0.00
   308 N High Point             11- 9       2    -1    +      2.57
   316 A No Carolina             7-20     -13    -6           0.00
   329 H Air Force              15-11       4     1    +      2.85
   405 A Queens                 11- 6       5     4           1.08
   412 A Utah                   14-17      -3    -2          -1.29
   419 H Bellarmine             18- 5      13     3           1.50
   426 H Mercer                 16-12       4     6          -1.00
   502 H Air Force              12-15      -3     1    --    -4.15
</pre></td></tr></table>
 <BR><H2>UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES</H2>

<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse; margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 H Air Force              12-15      -3     1    --    -4.15
</pre></td></tr></table>
 <BR><H2>OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES</H2>

<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse; margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 N High Point             11- 9       2    -1    +      2.57
   329 H Air Force              15-11       4     1    +      2.85
</pre></td></tr></table>
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<h3> Jacksonville                 Evaluation </h3>
<pre>The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: <BR>first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each <BR>other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they <BR>have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.<BR>The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the <BR>record of the loser for all common opponents </pre>
 <table>
 <tr> 
 <th> Opponent </th>
 <th> Who Gets <BR>the Point?</t>
 <th> Head-2-Head<BR>Point </th>
 <th> Common Opponent<BR>Point </th>
 <th> Power Rating<BR>Point</th>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 5- 1)</td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Albany                      </td>
<td>Albany                      </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Albany                      </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Army                        </td>
<td>Army                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0)</td>
<td>Army                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Bellarmine                  </td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Binghamton                  </td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Boston Univ                 </td>
<td>Boston Univ                 </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 2) ( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Boston Univ                 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Brown                       </td>
<td>Brown                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Brown                       </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Bryant                      </td>
<td>Bryant                      </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Bryant                      </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Bucknell                    </td>
<td>Bucknell                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Bucknell                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Canisius                    </td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Jacksonville                &nbsp 3- 0 vs  1- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Cleveland St                </td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Colgate                     </td>
<td>Colgate                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Colgate                     </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Cornell                     </td>
<td>Cornell                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Cornell                     </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Dartmouth                   </td>
<td>Dartmouth                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Dartmouth                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Delaware                    </td>
<td>Delaware                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 5- 0)</td>
<td>Delaware                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Denver                      </td>
<td>Denver                      </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Denver                      &nbsp 5- 0 vs  3- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Detroit                     </td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Drexel                      </td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)</td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)</td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Georgetown                  </td>
<td>Georgetown                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 2- 1) ( 2- 1)</td>
<td>Georgetown                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Hampton                     </td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Harvard                     </td>
<td>Harvard                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Harvard                     </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>High Point                  </td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Hobart                      </td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Jacksonville                &nbsp 2- 0 vs  0- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Hofstra                     </td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 3- 1) ( 3- 1)</td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Holy Cross                  </td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Iona                        </td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>JHU                         </td>
<td>JHU                         </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 2) ( 0- 2)</td>
<td>JHU                         </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Lafayette                   </td>
<td>Lafayette                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 1) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Lafayette                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Le Moyne                    </td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Lehigh                      </td>
<td>Lehigh                      </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Lehigh                      </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>LIU                         </td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 3- 0) ( 3- 0)</td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Loyola                      </td>
<td>Loyola                      </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Loyola                      </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Manhattan                   </td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2)</td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Marist                      </td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Marquette                   </td>
<td>Marquette                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 0)</td>
<td>Marquette                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Maryland                    </td>
<td>Maryland                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Maryland                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Mass-Lowell                 </td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Mercer                      </td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Mercyhurst                  </td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Jacksonville                &nbsp 3- 0 vs  1- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Merrimack                   </td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Michigan                    </td>
<td>Michigan                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 2) ( 0- 2)</td>
<td>Michigan                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Monmouth                    </td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Mt St Marys                 </td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1)</td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)</td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>NJIT                        </td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>No Carolina                 </td>
<td>No Carolina                 </td>
<td>No Carolina                 </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Notre Dame                  </td>
<td>Notre Dame                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Notre Dame                  &nbsp 2- 1 vs  0- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Ohio State                  </td>
<td>Ohio State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 2- 2) ( 2- 1)</td>
<td>Ohio State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 2) ( 0- 2)</td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Princeton                   </td>
<td>Princeton                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Princeton                   &nbsp 2- 0 vs  0- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 1) ( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Queens                      </td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Quinnipiac                  </td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Jacksonville                &nbsp 4- 1 vs  1- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Richmond                    </td>
<td>Richmond                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 2) ( 1- 2)</td>
<td>Richmond                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Rob Morris                  </td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Jacksonville                &nbsp 3- 1 vs  1- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Rutgers                     </td>
<td>Rutgers                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Rutgers                     </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Sacred Heart                </td>
<td>Sacred Heart                </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)</td>
<td>Sacred Heart                </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Siena                       </td>
<td>Siena                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)</td>
<td>Siena                       </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>St B'venture                </td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1)</td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>St Johns                    </td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>St Josephs                  </td>
<td>St Josephs                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)</td>
<td>St Josephs                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Stony Brook                 </td>
<td>Stony Brook                 </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 3- 1) ( 3- 1)</td>
<td>Stony Brook                 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Syracuse                    </td>
<td>Syracuse                    </td>
<td>Syracuse                    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Towson                      </td>
<td>Towson                      </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 1) ( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Towson                      </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Utah                        </td>
<td>Utah                        </td>
<td>Utah                        </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Vermont                     </td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Villanova                   </td>
<td>Villanova                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Villanova                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Virginia                    </td>
<td>Virginia                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3)</td>
<td>Virginia                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>VMI                         </td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 5- 0)( 4- 1)</td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Wagner                      </td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Yale                        </td>
<td>Yale                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Yale                        </td>
 </tr>
 </table>
 <BR><H4>PowerWise =           33 </H4><BR>
 <img src="s3s.png" width="50" height="50">
 division Games Only<BR>
Average number of games used in Games Correction  =  14.55<BR><BR>
<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse;margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Syracuse        (12- 5, 97.6)     5-24    <b>   -2.33</b>      16.48       0.87         1.04            -1.52
   0 H Duke            (13- 5, 97.2)     9-14    <b>   -2.70</b>      16.11      -0.87         1.04            -3.71
   0 H Marist          ( 8- 8, 91.3)    15-12       -8.61   <b>   10.21</b>      -0.87         1.04             9.71
   0 H Hampton         ( 0-15, 81.1)    21- 6      -18.75   <b>    1.00</b>      -0.87         1.04             0.14
   0 A St Johns        ( 4-11, 90.2)    11-10       -9.71   <b>    9.11</b>       0.87         1.04            10.36
   0 A Iona            ( 2-13, 86.5)    18- 4      -13.39   <b>    5.42</b>       0.87         1.04             6.54
   0 N High Point      ( 7- 9, 93.0)    11- 9       -6.86   <b>   11.95</b>      -0.00         1.04            12.42
   0 A No Carolina     (11- 4, 97.4)     7-20    <b>   -2.50</b>      16.32       0.87         1.04            -1.69
   0 H Air Force       ( 8- 8, 92.2)    15-11       -7.72   <b>   11.10</b>      -0.87         1.04            10.63
   0 A Queens          ( 3-11, 87.7)    11- 6      -12.22   <b>    6.59</b>       0.87         1.04             7.75
   0 A Utah            ( 6- 9, 93.3)    14-17    <b>   -6.58</b>      12.23       0.87         1.04            -5.94
   0 H Bellarmine      ( 8- 9, 89.8)    18- 5      -10.06   <b>    8.75</b>      -0.87         1.04             8.19
   0 H Mercer          ( 2-11, 87.4)    16-12      -12.53   <b>    6.28</b>      -0.87         1.04             5.63
   0 H Air Force       ( 8- 8, 92.2)    12-15    <b>   -7.72</b>      11.10      -0.87         1.04            -8.92
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        49.58
</pre></td></tr></table>
                    <BR>winning pts =    71.3610   losing points =   -21.7797
<BR><BR>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; <i><b>SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game  Correction.</b></i><BR><BR>          ------------------------------------------------------------------------<BR>          | (W-L PR)                = Won-loss record and power rating           |<BR>          | SCORE                   = game score                                 |<BR>          | SAFE Loss (SLP)         = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |<BR>          | SAFE Win (SWP)          = Points awarded for defeating the opponent  |<BR>          | Home-field Advantage    = goals deducted/awarded for site            |<BR>          | No games correction     = normalzation  based on a ~16 game schedule |<BR>          ------------------------------------------------------------------------<BR>
