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<b>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; --- &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<b>UPDATED: </b>08-05-25     15:01 PDT<BR></b></p>
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<title>  men Air Force                      1</title> 
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<b>Air Force           </b>  <img src="001_md1.gif" width="100" height="67"><BR>W-L: (<B> 8- 8)  PR =    92.1839</B>
 <H1>Schedule/Results All Games</H1> 

<B> Date  Opponent               Conf/State      (W-L, PR)      Score  </b>
 201 A Lafayette              Patriot       (10- 6, 94.3)     8-11   
 208 H Denver                 Big East      ( 7- 7, 94.4)     8-14   
 215 A Ohio State             B1G           (14- 3, 97.6)    11-17   
 222 A Boston Univ            Patriot       (11- 5, 95.4)     7-15   
 228 H Quinnipiac             MAAC          ( 3-12, 88.2)    21- 8   
 302 H Marist                 MAAC          ( 8- 8, 91.3)    22- 8   
 308 A Duke                   ACC           (13- 5, 97.2)    11-16   
 322 N Marquette              Big East      ( 7- 7, 93.5)     8- 9   
 329 A Jacksonville           ASUN          ( 9- 5, 92.5)    11-15   
 405 H Bellarmine             ASUN          ( 8- 9, 89.8)    18- 6   
 412 H Queens                 ASUN          ( 3-11, 87.7)     8- 7   
 419 A Mercer                 ASUN          ( 2-11, 87.4)    12- 8   
 426 H Utah                   ASUN          ( 6- 9, 93.3)    16-15   
 502 A Jacksonville           ASUN          ( 9- 5, 92.5)    15-12   
 504 N Utah                   ASUN          ( 6- 9, 93.3)    11-10   
 507 A Rob Morris             NEC           (10- 5, 92.1)     6- 9   
</pre></td></tr></table>
</pre></td></tr></table>
 <H2>PREDICTION LIST</H2>

<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse;margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   201 A Lafayette               8-11      -3    -3           0.01
   208 H Denver                  8-14      -6    -1    -     -3.68
   215 A Ohio State             11-17      -6    -6           0.00
   222 A Boston Univ             7-15      -8    -4          -0.89
   228 H Quinnipiac             21- 8      13     5           0.16
   302 H Marist                 22- 8      14     2    +      3.24
   308 A Duke                   11-16      -5    -6           0.00
   322 N Marquette               8- 9      -1    -1           0.31
   329 A Jacksonville           11-15      -4    -1    -     -2.85
   405 H Bellarmine             18- 6      12     3           1.79
   412 H Queens                  8- 7       1     5    --    -4.00
   419 A Mercer                 12- 8       4     4           0.05
   426 H Utah                   16-15       1     0           1.27
   502 A Jacksonville           15-12       3    -1    ++     4.15
   504 N Utah                   11-10       1    -1    +      2.13
   507 A Rob Morris              6- 9      -3    -1    -     -2.21
</pre></td></tr></table>
 <BR><H2>UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES</H2>

<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse; margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 H Queens                  8- 7       1     5    --    -4.00
   208 H Denver                  8-14      -6    -1    -     -3.68
   329 A Jacksonville           11-15      -4    -1    -     -2.85
   507 A Rob Morris              6- 9      -3    -1    -     -2.21
</pre></td></tr></table>
 <BR><H2>OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES</H2>

<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse; margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 A Jacksonville           15-12       3    -1    ++     4.15
   302 H Marist                 22- 8      14     2    +      3.24
   504 N Utah                   11-10       1    -1    +      2.13
</pre></td></tr></table>
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<h3> Air Force                    Evaluation </h3>
<pre>The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: <BR>first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each <BR>other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they <BR>have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.<BR>The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the <BR>record of the loser for all common opponents </pre>
 <table>
 <tr> 
 <th> Opponent </th>
 <th> Who Gets <BR>the Point?</t>
 <th> Head-2-Head<BR>Point </th>
 <th> Common Opponent<BR>Point </th>
 <th> Power Rating<BR>Point</th>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Albany                      </td>
<td>Albany                      </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Albany                      </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Army                        </td>
<td>Army                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1)</td>
<td>Army                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Bellarmine                  </td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Binghamton                  </td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)</td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Boston Univ                 </td>
<td>Boston Univ                 </td>
<td>Boston Univ                 </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Brown                       </td>
<td>Brown                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Brown                       </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Bryant                      </td>
<td>Bryant                      </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 1) ( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Bryant                      </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Bucknell                    </td>
<td>Bucknell                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 2) ( 0- 2)</td>
<td>Bucknell                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Canisius                    </td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Air Force                   &nbsp 3- 1 vs  1- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Cleveland St                </td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 3) ( 1- 3)</td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Colgate                     </td>
<td>Colgate                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Colgate                     </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Cornell                     </td>
<td>Cornell                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Cornell                     </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Dartmouth                   </td>
<td>Dartmouth                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Dartmouth                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Delaware                    </td>
<td>Delaware                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)</td>
<td>Delaware                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Denver                      </td>
<td>Denver                      </td>
<td>Denver                      </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Detroit                     </td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4)</td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Drexel                      </td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0)</td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Georgetown                  </td>
<td>Georgetown                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2)</td>
<td>Georgetown                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Hampton                     </td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Air Force                   &nbsp 4- 1 vs  0- 4</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Harvard                     </td>
<td>Harvard                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Harvard                     &nbsp 2- 0 vs  0- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>High Point                  </td>
<td>High Point                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 2- 2) ( 2- 1)</td>
<td>High Point                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Hobart                      </td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Hofstra                     </td>
<td>Hofstra                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Hofstra                     </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Holy Cross                  </td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 2) ( 1- 2)</td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Iona                        </td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Air Force                   &nbsp 3- 1 vs  1- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 5- 1)( 4- 2)</td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>JHU                         </td>
<td>JHU                         </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>JHU                         </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Lafayette                   </td>
<td>Lafayette                   </td>
<td>Lafayette                   </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Le Moyne                    </td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1)</td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Lehigh                      </td>
<td>Lehigh                      </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 2) ( 0- 2)</td>
<td>Lehigh                      </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>LIU                         </td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 2- 1) ( 2- 1)</td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Loyola                      </td>
<td>Loyola                      </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 2) ( 0- 2)</td>
<td>Loyola                      </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Manhattan                   </td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Marist                      </td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Marquette                   </td>
<td>Marquette                   </td>
<td>Marquette                   </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Maryland                    </td>
<td>Maryland                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Maryland                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Mass-Lowell                 </td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Mercer                      </td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Mercyhurst                  </td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Air Force                   &nbsp 2- 1 vs  0- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Merrimack                   </td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Michigan                    </td>
<td>Michigan                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2)</td>
<td>Michigan                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Monmouth                    </td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Mt St Marys                 </td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Air Force                   &nbsp 3- 0 vs  1- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Navy                        &nbsp 2- 0 vs  0- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>NJIT                        </td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>No Carolina                 </td>
<td>No Carolina                 </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0)</td>
<td>No Carolina                 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Notre Dame                  </td>
<td>Notre Dame                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Notre Dame                  &nbsp 2- 1 vs  0- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Ohio State                  </td>
<td>Ohio State                  </td>
<td>Ohio State                  </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Princeton                   </td>
<td>Princeton                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Princeton                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Providence                  &nbsp 2- 1 vs  0- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Queens                      </td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Quinnipiac                  </td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Richmond                    </td>
<td>Richmond                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Richmond                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Rob Morris                  </td>
<td>Rob Morris                  </td>
<td>Rob Morris                  </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Rutgers                     </td>
<td>Rutgers                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Rutgers                     </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Sacred Heart                </td>
<td>Sacred Heart                </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)</td>
<td>Sacred Heart                </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Siena                       </td>
<td>Siena                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 2- 1) ( 2- 1)</td>
<td>Siena                       </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>St B'venture                </td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2)</td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>St Johns                    </td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 2- 3)</td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>St Josephs                  </td>
<td>St Josephs                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)</td>
<td>St Josephs                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Stony Brook                 </td>
<td>Stony Brook                 </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Stony Brook                 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Syracuse                    </td>
<td>Syracuse                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 2- 2) ( 2- 1)</td>
<td>Syracuse                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Towson                      </td>
<td>Towson                      </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Towson                      </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Air Force                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Utah                        </td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Vermont                     </td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Villanova                   </td>
<td>Villanova                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Villanova                   &nbsp 2- 0 vs  0- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Virginia                    </td>
<td>Virginia                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2)</td>
<td>Virginia                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>VMI                         </td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 2- 1) ( 2- 1)</td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Wagner                      </td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Yale                        </td>
<td>Yale                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Yale                        </td>
 </tr>
 </table>
 <BR><H4>PowerWise =           30 </H4><BR>
 <img src="s3s.png" width="50" height="50">
 division Games Only<BR>
Average number of games used in Games Correction  =  14.55<BR><BR>
<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse;margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Lafayette       (10- 6, 94.3)     8-11    <b>   -5.57</b>      13.24       0.87         0.97            -4.56
   0 H Denver          ( 7- 7, 94.4)     8-14    <b>   -5.53</b>      13.29      -0.87         0.97            -6.20
   0 A Ohio State      (14- 3, 97.6)    11-17    <b>   -2.27</b>      16.55       0.87         0.97            -1.36
   0 A Boston Univ     (11- 5, 95.4)     7-15    <b>   -4.48</b>      14.34       0.87         0.97            -3.50
   0 H Quinnipiac      ( 3-12, 88.2)    21- 8      -11.69   <b>    7.12</b>      -0.87         0.97             6.07
   0 H Marist          ( 8- 8, 91.3)    22- 8       -8.61   <b>   10.21</b>      -0.87         0.97             9.06
   0 A Duke            (13- 5, 97.2)    11-16    <b>   -2.70</b>      16.11       0.87         0.97            -1.78
   0 N Marquette       ( 7- 7, 93.5)     8- 9    <b>   -6.41</b>      12.40      -0.00         0.97            -6.22
   0 A Jacksonville    ( 9- 5, 92.5)    11-15    <b>   -7.43</b>      11.38       0.87         0.97            -6.37
   0 H Bellarmine      ( 8- 9, 89.8)    18- 6      -10.06   <b>    8.75</b>      -0.87         0.97             7.65
   0 H Queens          ( 3-11, 87.7)     8- 7      -12.22   <b>    6.59</b>      -0.87         0.97             5.55
   0 A Mercer          ( 2-11, 87.4)    12- 8      -12.53   <b>    6.28</b>       0.87         0.97             6.93
   0 H Utah            ( 6- 9, 93.3)    16-15       -6.58   <b>   12.23</b>      -0.87         0.97            11.02
   0 A Jacksonville    ( 9- 5, 92.5)    15-12       -7.43   <b>   11.38</b>       0.87         0.97            11.88
   0 N Utah            ( 6- 9, 93.3)    11-10       -6.58   <b>   12.23</b>      -0.00         0.97            11.86
   0 A Rob Morris      (10- 5, 92.1)     6- 9    <b>   -7.79</b>      11.02       0.87         0.97            -6.71
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        33.32
</pre></td></tr></table>
                    <BR>winning pts =    70.0162   losing points =   -36.6933
<BR><BR>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; <i><b>SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game  Correction.</b></i><BR><BR>          ------------------------------------------------------------------------<BR>          | (W-L PR)                = Won-loss record and power rating           |<BR>          | SCORE                   = game score                                 |<BR>          | SAFE Loss (SLP)         = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |<BR>          | SAFE Win (SWP)          = Points awarded for defeating the opponent  |<BR>          | Home-field Advantage    = goals deducted/awarded for site            |<BR>          | No games correction     = normalzation  based on a ~16 game schedule |<BR>          ------------------------------------------------------------------------<BR>
