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<b>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; --- &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<b>UPDATED: </b>08-05-25     15:01 PDT<BR></b></p>
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<title>  men UMBC                           1</title> 
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<b>UMBC                </b>  <img src="070_md1.gif" width="100" height="67"><BR>W-L: (<B> 7- 4)  PR =    92.0284</B>
 <H1>Schedule/Results All Games</H1> 

<B> Date  Opponent               Conf/State      (W-L, PR)      Score  </b>
 215 A Drexel                 CAA           ( 7- 7, 91.9)     9- 6   
 221 H Mt St Marys            MAAC          ( 4-10, 88.7)    12- 6   
 228 H Towson                 CAA           ( 9- 6, 93.8)    10-17   
 308 A Richmond               Atlantic 10   (13- 4, 97.4)     8-14   
 315 H Vermont                America East  ( 5- 7, 91.5)    10- 7   
 322 A Albany                 America East  ( 8- 8, 93.4)    13-12   
 329 A Bryant                 America East  ( 9- 4, 93.0)     7-12   
 404 H Mass-Lowell            America East  ( 4- 9, 88.5)    14- 4   
 412 H Binghamton             America East  ( 5- 8, 91.3)    17- 7   
 419 A NJIT                   America East  ( 1-11, 86.5)    19-11   
 424 N Holy Cross             Patriot       ( 4-11, 90.6)     7-15   
</pre></td></tr></table>
</pre></td></tr></table>
 <H2>PREDICTION LIST</H2>

<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse;margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   215 A Drexel                  9- 6       3    -1    +      3.69
   221 H Mt St Marys            12- 6       6     4           0.77
   228 H Towson                 10-17      -7    -1    --    -4.06
   308 A Richmond                8-14      -6    -6           0.00
   315 H Vermont                10- 7       3     1           1.62
   322 A Albany                 13-12       1    -2    +      3.19
   329 A Bryant                  7-12      -5    -2    -     -3.19
   404 H Mass-Lowell            14- 4      10     4           0.65
   412 H Binghamton             17- 7      10     2    +      3.38
   419 A NJIT                   19-11       8     5           0.37
   424 N Holy Cross              7-15      -8     1    ---   -6.43
</pre></td></tr></table>
 <BR><H2>UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES</H2>

<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse; margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 N Holy Cross              7-15      -8     1    ---   -6.43
   228 H Towson                 10-17      -7    -1    --    -4.06
   329 A Bryant                  7-12      -5    -2    -     -3.19
</pre></td></tr></table>
 <BR><H2>OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES</H2>

<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse; margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   215 A Drexel                  9- 6       3    -1    +      3.69
   322 A Albany                 13-12       1    -2    +      3.19
   412 H Binghamton             17- 7      10     2    +      3.38
</pre></td></tr></table>
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 <img src="powerwise.png" width="50" height="50">
<h3> UMBC                         Evaluation </h3>
<pre>The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: <BR>first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each <BR>other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they <BR>have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.<BR>The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the <BR>record of the loser for all common opponents </pre>
 <table>
 <tr> 
 <th> Opponent </th>
 <th> Who Gets <BR>the Point?</t>
 <th> Head-2-Head<BR>Point </th>
 <th> Common Opponent<BR>Point </th>
 <th> Power Rating<BR>Point</th>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Air Force                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Albany                      </td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Army                        </td>
<td>Army                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Army                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Bellarmine                  </td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>UMBC                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Binghamton                  </td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Boston Univ                 </td>
<td>Boston Univ                 </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Boston Univ                 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Brown                       </td>
<td>Brown                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Brown                       </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Bryant                      </td>
<td>Bryant                      </td>
<td>Bryant                      </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Bucknell                    </td>
<td>Bucknell                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 2) ( 0- 2)</td>
<td>Bucknell                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Canisius                    </td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Cleveland St                </td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>UMBC                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Colgate                     </td>
<td>Colgate                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0)</td>
<td>Colgate                     </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Cornell                     </td>
<td>Cornell                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0)</td>
<td>Cornell                     </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Dartmouth                   </td>
<td>Dartmouth                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0)</td>
<td>Dartmouth                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Delaware                    </td>
<td>Delaware                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 1) ( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Delaware                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Denver                      </td>
<td>Denver                      </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Denver                      </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Detroit                     </td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>UMBC                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Drexel                      </td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 2- 1) ( 2- 1)</td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Georgetown                  </td>
<td>Georgetown                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 1) ( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Georgetown                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Hampton                     </td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)</td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Harvard                     </td>
<td>Harvard                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Harvard                     </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>High Point                  </td>
<td>High Point                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)</td>
<td>High Point                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Hobart                      </td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)</td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Hofstra                     </td>
<td>Hofstra                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2)</td>
<td>Hofstra                     </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Holy Cross                  </td>
<td>Holy Cross                  </td>
<td>Holy Cross                  </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Iona                        </td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>JHU                         </td>
<td>JHU                         </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>JHU                         </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Lafayette                   </td>
<td>Lafayette                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 3- 1) ( 3- 1)</td>
<td>Lafayette                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Le Moyne                    </td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>UMBC                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Lehigh                      </td>
<td>Lehigh                      </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Lehigh                      </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>LIU                         </td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Loyola                      </td>
<td>Loyola                      </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Loyola                      </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Manhattan                   </td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Marist                      </td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)</td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Marquette                   </td>
<td>Marquette                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Marquette                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Maryland                    </td>
<td>Maryland                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Maryland                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 4- 1) ( 4- 1)</td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Mass-Lowell                 </td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Mercer                      </td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Mercyhurst                  </td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)</td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Merrimack                   </td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3)</td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Michigan                    </td>
<td>Michigan                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Michigan                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Monmouth                    </td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2)</td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Mt St Marys                 </td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Navy                        &nbsp 2- 0 vs  0- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>NJIT                        </td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>No Carolina                 </td>
<td>No Carolina                 </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>No Carolina                 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Notre Dame                  </td>
<td>Notre Dame                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Notre Dame                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Ohio State                  </td>
<td>Ohio State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Ohio State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Princeton                   </td>
<td>Princeton                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0)</td>
<td>Princeton                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Providence                  &nbsp 2- 0 vs  0- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Queens                      </td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2)</td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Quinnipiac                  </td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 1) ( 1- 1)</td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Richmond                    </td>
<td>Richmond                    </td>
<td>Richmond                    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Rob Morris                  </td>
<td>Rob Morris                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Rob Morris                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Rutgers                     </td>
<td>Rutgers                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Rutgers                     </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Sacred Heart                </td>
<td>Sacred Heart                </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0)</td>
<td>Sacred Heart                </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Siena                       </td>
<td>Siena                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1)</td>
<td>Siena                       </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>St B'venture                </td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2)</td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>St Johns                    </td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 1) ( 1- 1)</td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>St Josephs                  </td>
<td>St Josephs                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1)</td>
<td>St Josephs                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Stony Brook                 </td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>UMBC                        &nbsp 2- 1 vs  0- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Syracuse                    </td>
<td>Syracuse                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0)</td>
<td>Syracuse                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Towson                      </td>
<td>Towson                      </td>
<td>Towson                      </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Utah                        </td>
<td>Utah                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Utah                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Vermont                     </td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Villanova                   </td>
<td>Villanova                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Villanova                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Virginia                    </td>
<td>Virginia                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1)</td>
<td>Virginia                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>VMI                         </td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>UMBC                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Wagner                      </td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>UMBC                        &nbsp 3- 0 vs  0- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Yale                        </td>
<td>Yale                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Yale                        </td>
 </tr>
 </table>
 <BR><H4>PowerWise =           29 </H4><BR>
 <img src="s3s.png" width="50" height="50">
 division Games Only<BR>
Average number of games used in Games Correction  =  14.55<BR><BR>
<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse;margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Drexel          ( 7- 7, 91.9)     9- 6       -8.05   <b>   10.77</b>       0.87         1.32            15.38
   0 H Mt St Marys     ( 4-10, 88.7)    12- 6      -11.23   <b>    7.58</b>      -0.87         1.32             8.88
   0 H Towson          ( 9- 6, 93.8)    10-17    <b>   -6.06</b>      12.75      -0.87         1.32            -9.16
   0 A Richmond        (13- 4, 97.4)     8-14    <b>   -2.49</b>      16.33       0.87         1.32            -2.14
   0 H Vermont         ( 5- 7, 91.5)    10- 7       -8.38   <b>   10.43</b>      -0.87         1.32            12.65
   0 A Albany          ( 8- 8, 93.4)    13-12       -6.55   <b>   12.27</b>       0.87         1.32            17.37
   0 A Bryant          ( 9- 4, 93.0)     7-12    <b>   -6.93</b>      11.89       0.87         1.32            -8.01
   0 H Mass-Lowell     ( 4- 9, 88.5)    14- 4      -11.35   <b>    7.46</b>      -0.87         1.32             8.72
   0 H Binghamton      ( 5- 8, 91.3)    17- 7       -8.63   <b>   10.18</b>      -0.87         1.32            12.32
   0 A NJIT            ( 1-11, 86.5)    19-11      -13.37   <b>    5.44</b>       0.87         1.32             8.34
   0 N Holy Cross      ( 4-11, 90.6)     7-15       -9.30   <b>    9.52</b>      -0.00         1.32           -12.29
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        52.04
</pre></td></tr></table>
                    <BR>winning pts =    83.6553   losing points =   -31.6132
<BR><BR>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; <i><b>SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game  Correction.</b></i><BR><BR>          ------------------------------------------------------------------------<BR>          | (W-L PR)                = Won-loss record and power rating           |<BR>          | SCORE                   = game score                                 |<BR>          | SAFE Loss (SLP)         = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |<BR>          | SAFE Win (SWP)          = Points awarded for defeating the opponent  |<BR>          | Home-field Advantage    = goals deducted/awarded for site            |<BR>          | No games correction     = normalzation  based on a ~16 game schedule |<BR>          ------------------------------------------------------------------------<BR>
