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<b>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; --- &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<b>UPDATED: </b>08-05-25     15:01 PDT<BR></b></p>
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<title>  men Providence                     1</title> 
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<b>Providence          </b>  <img src="056_md1.gif" width="100" height="67"><BR>W-L: (<B> 7- 8)  PR =    93.9311</B>
 <H1>Schedule/Results All Games</H1> 

<B> Date  Opponent               Conf/State      (W-L, PR)      Score  </b>
 201 H Holy Cross             Patriot       ( 4-11, 90.6)    15- 8   
 208 A Bryant                 America East  ( 9- 4, 93.0)    15-12   
 215 H Harvard                Ivy           (10- 5, 96.7)    10-12   
 222 A Brown                  Ivy           ( 3-10, 93.1)     6- 7   
 225 A Merrimack              America East  ( 3-10, 88.3)    18- 7   
 301 A Fairfield              CAA           (12- 2, 94.3)     7-15   
 308 H Loyola                 Patriot       ( 3-11, 93.3)    12-11   
 312 A Duke                   ACC           (13- 5, 97.2)    10-16   
 322 A St Josephs             Atlantic 10   ( 9- 6, 95.1)     8-16   
 329 A Georgetown             Big East      (10- 6, 95.6)    13-14   
 405 H Villanova              Big East      ( 9- 6, 94.0)     8-11   
 412 H Marquette              Big East      ( 7- 7, 93.5)    14- 2   
 419 A Denver                 Big East      ( 7- 7, 94.4)    10- 6   
 425 H St Johns               Big East      ( 4-11, 90.2)    16-10   
 501 N Villanova              Big East      ( 9- 6, 94.0)    14-16   
</pre></td></tr></table>
</pre></td></tr></table>
 <H2>PREDICTION LIST</H2>

<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse;margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   201 H Holy Cross             15- 8       7     4           0.81
   208 A Bryant                 15-12       3     0    +      2.91
   215 H Harvard                10-12      -2    -2          -0.05
   222 A Brown                   6- 7      -1     0          -1.00
   225 A Merrimack              18- 7      11     5           0.27
   301 A Fairfield               7-15      -8    -1    -     -3.79
   308 H Loyola                 12-11       1     1          -0.46
   312 A Duke                   10-16      -6    -4          -0.87
   322 A St Josephs              8-16      -8    -2    -     -2.96
   329 A Georgetown             13-14      -1    -3           1.54
   405 H Villanova               8-11      -3     1    -     -3.83
   412 H Marquette              14- 2      12     1    +      3.69
   419 A Denver                 10- 6       4    -1    ++     5.31
   425 H St Johns               16-10       6     5           0.40
   501 N Villanova              14-16      -2     0          -1.96
</pre></td></tr></table>
 <BR><H2>UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES</H2>

<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse; margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 A Fairfield               7-15      -8    -1    -     -3.79
   322 A St Josephs              8-16      -8    -2    -     -2.96
   405 H Villanova               8-11      -3     1    -     -3.83
</pre></td></tr></table>
 <BR><H2>OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES</H2>

<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse; margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 A Denver                 10- 6       4    -1    ++     5.31
   208 A Bryant                 15-12       3     0    +      2.91
   412 H Marquette              14- 2      12     1    +      3.69
</pre></td></tr></table>
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<h3> Providence                   Evaluation </h3>
<pre>The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: <BR>first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each <BR>other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they <BR>have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.<BR>The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the <BR>record of the loser for all common opponents </pre>
 <table>
 <tr> 
 <th> Opponent </th>
 <th> Who Gets <BR>the Point?</t>
 <th> Head-2-Head<BR>Point </th>
 <th> Common Opponent<BR>Point </th>
 <th> Power Rating<BR>Point</th>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Providence                  &nbsp 2- 1 vs  0- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Albany                      </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)</td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Army                        </td>
<td>Army                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)</td>
<td>Army                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Bellarmine                  </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)</td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Binghamton                  </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)</td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Boston Univ                 </td>
<td>Boston Univ                 </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2)</td>
<td>Boston Univ                 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Brown                       </td>
<td>Brown                       </td>
<td>Brown                       </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Bryant                      </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Bucknell                    </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Providence                  &nbsp 4- 0 vs  1- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Canisius                    </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Cleveland St                </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Colgate                     </td>
<td>Colgate                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Colgate                     &nbsp 4- 0 vs  2- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Cornell                     </td>
<td>Cornell                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Cornell                     &nbsp 3- 0 vs  1- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Dartmouth                   </td>
<td>Dartmouth                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1)</td>
<td>Dartmouth                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Delaware                    </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 1) ( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Denver                      </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Detroit                     </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Drexel                      </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 3) ( 0- 3)</td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Georgetown                  </td>
<td>Georgetown                  </td>
<td>Georgetown                  </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Hampton                     </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Harvard                     </td>
<td>Harvard                     </td>
<td>Harvard                     </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>High Point                  </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Hobart                      </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)</td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Hofstra                     </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 1) ( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Holy Cross                  </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Iona                        </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 1) ( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>JHU                         </td>
<td>JHU                         </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0)</td>
<td>JHU                         </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Lafayette                   </td>
<td>Lafayette                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)</td>
<td>Lafayette                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Le Moyne                    </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Providence                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Lehigh                      </td>
<td>Lehigh                      </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1)</td>
<td>Lehigh                      </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>LIU                         </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Providence                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Loyola                      </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Manhattan                   </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 1) ( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Marist                      </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Marquette                   </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Maryland                    </td>
<td>Maryland                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Maryland                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Mass-Lowell                 </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Providence                  &nbsp 3- 1 vs  1- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Mercer                      </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Mercyhurst                  </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Providence                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Merrimack                   </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Michigan                    </td>
<td>Michigan                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 2) ( 1- 2)</td>
<td>Michigan                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Monmouth                    </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 2) ( 0- 2)</td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Mt St Marys                 </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>NJIT                        </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Providence                  &nbsp 2- 0 vs  0- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>No Carolina                 </td>
<td>No Carolina                 </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>No Carolina                 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Notre Dame                  </td>
<td>Notre Dame                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Notre Dame                  &nbsp 3- 0 vs  1- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Ohio State                  </td>
<td>Ohio State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)</td>
<td>Ohio State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Penn                        &nbsp 2- 4 vs  0- 6</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Princeton                   </td>
<td>Princeton                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Princeton                   &nbsp 3- 0 vs  0- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Queens                      </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Quinnipiac                  </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Providence                  &nbsp 4- 0 vs  0- 4</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Richmond                    </td>
<td>Richmond                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Richmond                    &nbsp 2- 1 vs  0- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Rob Morris                  </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Providence                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Rutgers                     </td>
<td>Rutgers                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 2- 1) ( 2- 1)</td>
<td>Rutgers                     </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Sacred Heart                </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1)</td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Siena                       </td>
<td>Siena                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Siena                       </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>St B'venture                </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>St Johns                    </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>St Josephs                  </td>
<td>St Josephs                  </td>
<td>St Josephs                  </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Stony Brook                 </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Syracuse                    </td>
<td>Syracuse                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 2) ( 0- 2)</td>
<td>Syracuse                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Towson                      </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1)</td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Providence                  &nbsp 2- 0 vs  0- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Utah                        </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Providence                  &nbsp 2- 0 vs  0- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Vermont                     </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Villanova                   </td>
<td>Villanova                   </td>
<td>Villanova                   </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Virginia                    </td>
<td>Virginia                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Virginia                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>VMI                         </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Providence                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Wagner                      </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Providence                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Yale                        </td>
<td>Yale                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2)</td>
<td>Yale                        </td>
 </tr>
 </table>
 <BR><H4>PowerWise =           46 </H4><BR>
 <img src="s3s.png" width="50" height="50">
 division Games Only<BR>
Average number of games used in Games Correction  =  14.55<BR><BR>
<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse;margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Holy Cross      ( 4-11, 90.6)    15- 8       -9.30   <b>    9.52</b>      -0.87         0.97             8.39
   0 A Bryant          ( 9- 4, 93.0)    15-12       -6.93   <b>   11.89</b>       0.87         0.97            12.37
   0 H Harvard         (10- 5, 96.7)    10-12    <b>   -3.15</b>      15.66      -0.87         0.97            -3.89
   0 A Brown           ( 3-10, 93.1)     6- 7       -6.84   <b>   11.98</b>       0.87         0.97            -5.79
   0 A Merrimack       ( 3-10, 88.3)    18- 7      -11.57   <b>    7.25</b>       0.87         0.97             7.87
   0 A Fairfield       (12- 2, 94.3)     7-15    <b>   -5.63</b>      13.19       0.87         0.97            -4.62
   0 H Loyola          ( 3-11, 93.3)    12-11       -6.56   <b>   12.25</b>      -0.87         0.97            11.04
   0 A Duke            (13- 5, 97.2)    10-16    <b>   -2.70</b>      16.11       0.87         0.97            -1.78
   0 A St Josephs      ( 9- 6, 95.1)     8-16    <b>   -4.79</b>      14.02       0.87         0.97            -3.81
   0 A Georgetown      (10- 6, 95.6)    13-14    <b>   -4.29</b>      14.52       0.87         0.97            -3.32
   0 H Villanova       ( 9- 6, 94.0)     8-11    <b>   -5.93</b>      12.88      -0.87         0.97            -6.59
   0 H Marquette       ( 7- 7, 93.5)    14- 2       -6.41   <b>   12.40</b>      -0.87         0.97            11.19
   0 A Denver          ( 7- 7, 94.4)    10- 6       -5.53   <b>   13.29</b>       0.87         0.97            13.72
   0 H St Johns        ( 4-11, 90.2)    16-10       -9.71   <b>    9.11</b>      -0.87         0.97             7.99
   0 N Villanova       ( 9- 6, 94.0)    14-16    <b>   -5.93</b>      12.88      -0.00         0.97            -5.75
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        37.00
</pre></td></tr></table>
                    <BR>winning pts =    72.5644   losing points =   -35.5601
<BR><BR>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; <i><b>SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game  Correction.</b></i><BR><BR>          ------------------------------------------------------------------------<BR>          | (W-L PR)                = Won-loss record and power rating           |<BR>          | SCORE                   = game score                                 |<BR>          | SAFE Loss (SLP)         = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |<BR>          | SAFE Win (SWP)          = Points awarded for defeating the opponent  |<BR>          | Home-field Advantage    = goals deducted/awarded for site            |<BR>          | No games correction     = normalzation  based on a ~16 game schedule |<BR>          ------------------------------------------------------------------------<BR>
