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<b>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; --- &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<b>UPDATED: </b>08-05-25     15:01 PDT<BR></b></p>
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<title>  men Mt St Marys                    1</title> 
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<b>Mt St Marys         </b>  <img src="047_md1.gif" width="100" height="67"><BR>W-L: (<B> 4-10)  PR =    88.6664</B>
 <H1>Schedule/Results All Games</H1> 

<B> Date  Opponent               Conf/State      (W-L, PR)      Score  </b>
 201 A Queens                 ASUN          ( 3-11, 87.7)    14- 9   
 208 H LIU                    NEC           ( 9- 4, 91.3)    12-15   
 211 H St B'venture           Atlantic 10   ( 6-10, 89.1)     8- 9   
 215 A Wagner                 NEC           ( 1-13, 85.8)    15- 9   
 221 A UMBC                   America East  ( 7- 4, 92.0)     6-12   
 301 H Monmouth               CAA           ( 5- 9, 89.8)    10-11   
 308 H Quinnipiac             MAAC          ( 3-12, 88.2)    10-21   
 315 A Manhattan              MAAC          ( 6- 9, 89.6)    11-13   
 322 H Marist                 MAAC          ( 8- 8, 91.3)    12-13   
 329 A Siena                  MAAC          (11- 5, 94.1)     8-12   
 405 H Canisius               MAAC          ( 6-10, 88.8)     6-12   
 412 A Merrimack              America East  ( 3-10, 88.3)    13-12   
 419 A Sacred Heart           MAAC          (12- 3, 92.8)    10-13   
 423 H Iona                   MAAC          ( 2-13, 86.5)    14- 6   
</pre></td></tr></table>
</pre></td></tr></table>
 <H2>PREDICTION LIST</H2>

<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse;margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   201 A Queens                 14- 9       5     0    ++     4.88
   208 H LIU                    12-15      -3    -2          -1.20
   211 H St B'venture            8- 9      -1     0          -1.41
   215 A Wagner                 15- 9       6     2    +      2.99
   221 A UMBC                    6-12      -6    -4          -0.77
   301 H Monmouth               10-11      -1     0          -0.76
   308 H Quinnipiac             10-21     -11     1    ---   -6.32
   315 A Manhattan              11-13      -2    -2          -0.21
   322 H Marist                 12-13      -1    -2           0.76
   329 A Siena                   8-12      -4    -6           1.00
   405 H Canisius                6-12      -6     1    --    -5.72
   412 A Merrimack              13-12       1    -1           1.53
   419 A Sacred Heart           10-13      -3    -5           1.99
   423 H Iona                   14- 6       8     3           1.98
</pre></td></tr></table>
 <BR><H2>UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES</H2>

<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse; margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 H Quinnipiac             10-21     -11     1    ---   -6.32
   405 H Canisius                6-12      -6     1    --    -5.72
</pre></td></tr></table>
 <BR><H2>OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES</H2>

<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse; margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   201 A Queens                 14- 9       5     0    ++     4.88
   215 A Wagner                 15- 9       6     2    +      2.99
</pre></td></tr></table>
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<h3> Mt St Marys                  Evaluation </h3>
<pre>The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: <BR>first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each <BR>other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they <BR>have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.<BR>The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the <BR>record of the loser for all common opponents </pre>
 <table>
 <tr> 
 <th> Opponent </th>
 <th> Who Gets <BR>the Point?</t>
 <th> Head-2-Head<BR>Point </th>
 <th> Common Opponent<BR>Point </th>
 <th> Power Rating<BR>Point</th>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Air Force                   &nbsp 3- 0 vs  1- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Albany                      </td>
<td>Albany                      </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Albany                      </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Army                        </td>
<td>Army                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Army                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Bellarmine                  </td>
<td>Bellarmine                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Bellarmine                  &nbsp 3- 1 vs  1- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Binghamton                  </td>
<td>Binghamton                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3)</td>
<td>Binghamton                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Boston Univ                 </td>
<td>Boston Univ                 </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Boston Univ                 &nbsp 2- 0 vs  0- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Brown                       </td>
<td>Brown                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Brown                       </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Bryant                      </td>
<td>Bryant                      </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Bryant                      &nbsp 3- 0 vs  1- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Bucknell                    </td>
<td>Bucknell                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0)</td>
<td>Bucknell                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Canisius                    </td>
<td>Canisius                    </td>
<td>Canisius                    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Cleveland St                </td>
<td>Mt St Marys                 </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2)</td>
<td>Mt St Marys                 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Colgate                     </td>
<td>Colgate                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Colgate                     </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Cornell                     </td>
<td>Cornell                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Cornell                     </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Dartmouth                   </td>
<td>Dartmouth                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Dartmouth                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Delaware                    </td>
<td>Delaware                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Delaware                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Denver                      </td>
<td>Denver                      </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Denver                      &nbsp 2- 0 vs  0- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Detroit                     </td>
<td>Mt St Marys                 </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 1) ( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Mt St Marys                 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Drexel                      </td>
<td>Drexel                      </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Drexel                      </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Duke                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Fairfield                   &nbsp 3- 0 vs  0- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Georgetown                  </td>
<td>Georgetown                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Georgetown                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Hampton                     </td>
<td>Mt St Marys                 </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Mt St Marys                 &nbsp 2- 1 vs  0- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Harvard                     </td>
<td>Harvard                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Harvard                     </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>High Point                  </td>
<td>High Point                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 1) ( 1- 1)</td>
<td>High Point                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Hobart                      </td>
<td>Hobart                      </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Hobart                      &nbsp 2- 0 vs  0- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Hofstra                     </td>
<td>Hofstra                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1)</td>
<td>Hofstra                     </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Holy Cross                  </td>
<td>Holy Cross                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 2- 2) ( 2- 2)</td>
<td>Holy Cross                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Iona                        </td>
<td>Mt St Marys                 </td>
<td>Mt St Marys                 </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0)</td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>JHU                         </td>
<td>JHU                         </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>JHU                         </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Lafayette                   </td>
<td>Lafayette                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Lafayette                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Le Moyne                    </td>
<td>Le Moyne                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Le Moyne                    &nbsp 3- 1 vs  1- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Lehigh                      </td>
<td>Lehigh                      </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Lehigh                      </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>LIU                         </td>
<td>LIU                         </td>
<td>LIU                         </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Loyola                      </td>
<td>Loyola                      </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Loyola                      </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Manhattan                   </td>
<td>Manhattan                   </td>
<td>Manhattan                   </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Marist                      </td>
<td>Marist                      </td>
<td>Marist                      </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Marquette                   </td>
<td>Marquette                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Marquette                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Maryland                    </td>
<td>Maryland                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Maryland                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>UMass                       &nbsp 2- 0 vs  0- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Mass-Lowell                 </td>
<td>Mt St Marys                 </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2)</td>
<td>Mt St Marys                 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Mercer                      </td>
<td>Mt St Marys                 </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 2) ( 1- 2)</td>
<td>Mt St Marys                 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Mercyhurst                  </td>
<td>Mt St Marys                 </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3)</td>
<td>Mt St Marys                 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Merrimack                   </td>
<td>Mt St Marys                 </td>
<td>Mt St Marys                 </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Michigan                    </td>
<td>Michigan                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Michigan                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Monmouth                    </td>
<td>Monmouth                    </td>
<td>Monmouth                    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>NJIT                        </td>
<td>Mt St Marys                 </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 2) ( 1- 2)</td>
<td>Mt St Marys                 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>No Carolina                 </td>
<td>No Carolina                 </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>No Carolina                 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Notre Dame                  </td>
<td>Notre Dame                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Notre Dame                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Ohio State                  </td>
<td>Ohio State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Ohio State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Princeton                   </td>
<td>Princeton                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Princeton                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Queens                      </td>
<td>Mt St Marys                 </td>
<td>Mt St Marys                 </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Quinnipiac                  </td>
<td>Quinnipiac                  </td>
<td>Quinnipiac                  </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Richmond                    </td>
<td>Richmond                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Richmond                    &nbsp 2- 0 vs  0- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Rob Morris                  </td>
<td>Rob Morris                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Rob Morris                  &nbsp 4- 0 vs  1- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Rutgers                     </td>
<td>Rutgers                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Rutgers                     </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Sacred Heart                </td>
<td>Sacred Heart                </td>
<td>Sacred Heart                </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Siena                       </td>
<td>Siena                       </td>
<td>Siena                       </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>St B'venture                </td>
<td>St B'venture                </td>
<td>St B'venture                </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>St Johns                    </td>
<td>St Johns                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>St Johns                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>St Josephs                  </td>
<td>St Josephs                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>St Josephs                  &nbsp 2- 1 vs  0- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Stony Brook                 </td>
<td>Stony Brook                 </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Stony Brook                 &nbsp 4- 1 vs  2- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Syracuse                    </td>
<td>Syracuse                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Syracuse                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Towson                      </td>
<td>Towson                      </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Towson                      &nbsp 2- 0 vs  0- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Utah                        </td>
<td>Utah                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Utah                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Vermont                     </td>
<td>Vermont                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Vermont                     </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Villanova                   </td>
<td>Villanova                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Villanova                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Virginia                    </td>
<td>Virginia                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Virginia                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>VMI                         </td>
<td>VMI                         </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>VMI                         &nbsp 6- 0 vs  3- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Wagner                      </td>
<td>Mt St Marys                 </td>
<td>Mt St Marys                 </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Yale                        </td>
<td>Yale                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Yale                        </td>
 </tr>
 </table>
 <BR><H4>PowerWise =           11 </H4><BR>
 <img src="s3s.png" width="50" height="50">
 division Games Only<BR>
Average number of games used in Games Correction  =  14.55<BR><BR>
<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse;margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Queens          ( 3-11, 87.7)    14- 9      -12.22   <b>    6.59</b>       0.87         1.04             7.75
   0 H LIU             ( 9- 4, 91.3)    12-15    <b>   -8.56</b>      10.25      -0.87         1.04            -9.80
   0 H St B'venture    ( 6-10, 89.1)     8- 9      -10.78   <b>    8.03</b>      -0.87         1.04           -12.10
   0 A Wagner          ( 1-13, 85.8)    15- 9      -14.11   <b>    4.71</b>       0.87         1.04             5.79
   0 A UMBC            ( 7- 4, 92.0)     6-12    <b>   -7.87</b>      10.94       0.87         1.04            -7.28
   0 H Monmouth        ( 5- 9, 89.8)    10-11    <b>  -10.13</b>       8.69      -0.87         1.04           -11.42
   0 H Quinnipiac      ( 3-12, 88.2)    10-21      -11.69   <b>    7.12</b>      -0.87         1.04           -13.05
   0 A Manhattan       ( 6- 9, 89.6)    11-13    <b>  -10.31</b>       8.51       0.87         1.04            -9.81
   0 H Marist          ( 8- 8, 91.3)    12-13    <b>   -8.61</b>      10.21      -0.87         1.04            -9.84
   0 A Siena           (11- 5, 94.1)     8-12    <b>   -5.85</b>      12.97       0.87         1.04            -5.17
   0 H Canisius        ( 6-10, 88.8)     6-12      -11.08   <b>    7.73</b>      -0.87         1.04           -12.42
   0 A Merrimack       ( 3-10, 88.3)    13-12      -11.57   <b>    7.25</b>       0.87         1.04             8.43
   0 A Sacred Heart    (12- 3, 92.8)    10-13    <b>   -7.11</b>      11.71       0.87         1.04            -6.49
   0 H Iona            ( 2-13, 86.5)    14- 6      -13.39   <b>    5.42</b>      -0.87         1.04             4.74
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -70.67
</pre></td></tr></table>
                    <BR>winning pts =    26.7039   losing points =   -97.3716
<BR><BR>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; <i><b>SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game  Correction.</b></i><BR><BR>          ------------------------------------------------------------------------<BR>          | (W-L PR)                = Won-loss record and power rating           |<BR>          | SCORE                   = game score                                 |<BR>          | SAFE Loss (SLP)         = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |<BR>          | SAFE Win (SWP)          = Points awarded for defeating the opponent  |<BR>          | Home-field Advantage    = goals deducted/awarded for site            |<BR>          | No games correction     = normalzation  based on a ~16 game schedule |<BR>          ------------------------------------------------------------------------<BR>
