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<b>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; --- &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<b>UPDATED: </b>08-05-25     15:01 PDT<BR></b></p>
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<title>  men Mercyhurst                     1</title> 
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<b>Mercyhurst          </b>  <img src="043_md1.gif" width="100" height="67"><BR>W-L: (<B> 2-11)  PR =    86.5146</B>
 <H1>Schedule/Results All Games</H1> 

<B> Date  Opponent               Conf/State      (W-L, PR)      Score  </b>
 208 A Bellarmine             ASUN          ( 8- 9, 89.8)    11-21   
 214 A Mass-Lowell            America East  ( 4- 9, 88.5)     7-15   
 222 H Queens                 ASUN          ( 3-11, 87.7)     8- 9   
 225 A St B'venture           Atlantic 10   ( 6-10, 89.1)     9-11   
 302 A Hampton                CAA           ( 0-15, 81.1)    22- 6   
 304 A Richmond               Atlantic 10   (13- 4, 97.4)     3-23   
 315 H LIU                    NEC           ( 9- 4, 91.3)    12-15   
 322 A VMI                    NEC           (10- 4, 90.7)    12-18   
 329 A Rob Morris             NEC           (10- 5, 92.1)     8-17   
 405 H Cleveland St           NEC           ( 4-10, 88.4)    10-13   
 412 H Le Moyne               NEC           ( 9- 5, 89.8)     7- 8   
 419 A Detroit                NEC           ( 5- 6, 88.4)    13-14   
 426 H Wagner                 NEC           ( 1-13, 85.8)    12-11   
</pre></td></tr></table>
</pre></td></tr></table>
 <H2>PREDICTION LIST</H2>

<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse;margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   208 A Bellarmine             11-21     -10    -4          -0.81
   214 A Mass-Lowell             7-15      -8    -3    -     -2.10
   222 H Queens                  8- 9      -1     0          -0.70
   225 A St B'venture            9-11      -2    -3           1.47
   302 A Hampton                22- 6      16     5           0.50
   304 A Richmond                3-23     -20   -12           0.00
   315 H LIU                    12-15      -3    -4           0.95
   322 A VMI                    12-18      -6    -5           0.00
   329 A Rob Morris              8-17      -9    -6           0.00
   405 H Cleveland St           10-13      -3    -1          -1.94
   412 H Le Moyne                7- 8      -1    -2           1.42
   419 A Detroit                13-14      -1    -3           1.79
   426 H Wagner                 12-11       1     2          -0.59
</pre></td></tr></table>
 <BR><H2>UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES</H2>

<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse; margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   214 A Mass-Lowell             7-15      -8    -3    -     -2.10
</pre></td></tr></table>
 <BR><H2>OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES</H2>

<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse; margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
</pre></td></tr></table>
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<h3> Mercyhurst                   Evaluation </h3>
<pre>The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: <BR>first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each <BR>other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they <BR>have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.<BR>The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the <BR>record of the loser for all common opponents </pre>
 <table>
 <tr> 
 <th> Opponent </th>
 <th> Who Gets <BR>the Point?</t>
 <th> Head-2-Head<BR>Point </th>
 <th> Common Opponent<BR>Point </th>
 <th> Power Rating<BR>Point</th>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Air Force                   &nbsp 2- 1 vs  0- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Albany                      </td>
<td>Albany                      </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Albany                      </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Army                        </td>
<td>Army                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Army                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Bellarmine                  </td>
<td>Bellarmine                  </td>
<td>Bellarmine                  </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Binghamton                  </td>
<td>Binghamton                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Binghamton                  &nbsp 2- 0 vs  0- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Boston Univ                 </td>
<td>Boston Univ                 </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Boston Univ                 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Brown                       </td>
<td>Brown                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Brown                       </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Bryant                      </td>
<td>Bryant                      </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Bryant                      </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Bucknell                    </td>
<td>Bucknell                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Bucknell                    &nbsp 2- 0 vs  0- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Canisius                    </td>
<td>Canisius                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 5) ( 0- 5)</td>
<td>Canisius                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Cleveland St                </td>
<td>Cleveland St                </td>
<td>Cleveland St                </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Colgate                     </td>
<td>Colgate                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Colgate                     </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Cornell                     </td>
<td>Cornell                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Cornell                     </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Dartmouth                   </td>
<td>Dartmouth                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Dartmouth                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Delaware                    </td>
<td>Delaware                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Delaware                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Denver                      </td>
<td>Denver                      </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Denver                      </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Detroit                     </td>
<td>Detroit                     </td>
<td>Detroit                     </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Drexel                      </td>
<td>Drexel                      </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Drexel                      </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Duke                        &nbsp 2- 0 vs  0- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0)</td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Georgetown                  </td>
<td>Georgetown                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Georgetown                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Hampton                     </td>
<td>Mercyhurst                  </td>
<td>Mercyhurst                  </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Harvard                     </td>
<td>Harvard                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Harvard                     </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>High Point                  </td>
<td>High Point                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>High Point                  &nbsp 3- 2 vs  0- 5</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Hobart                      </td>
<td>Hobart                      </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Hobart                      &nbsp 2- 2 vs  0- 4</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Hofstra                     </td>
<td>Hofstra                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)</td>
<td>Hofstra                     </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Holy Cross                  </td>
<td>Holy Cross                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Holy Cross                  &nbsp 2- 0 vs  0- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Iona                        </td>
<td>Mercyhurst                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 2) ( 1- 2)</td>
<td>Mercyhurst                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Jacksonville                &nbsp 3- 0 vs  1- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>JHU                         </td>
<td>JHU                         </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>JHU                         </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Lafayette                   </td>
<td>Lafayette                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Lafayette                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Le Moyne                    </td>
<td>Le Moyne                    </td>
<td>Le Moyne                    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Lehigh                      </td>
<td>Lehigh                      </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Lehigh                      </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>LIU                         </td>
<td>LIU                         </td>
<td>LIU                         </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Loyola                      </td>
<td>Loyola                      </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Loyola                      </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Manhattan                   </td>
<td>Manhattan                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Manhattan                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Marist                      </td>
<td>Marist                      </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Marist                      </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Marquette                   </td>
<td>Marquette                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Marquette                   &nbsp 3- 0 vs  0- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Maryland                    </td>
<td>Maryland                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Maryland                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>UMass                       &nbsp 2- 1 vs  0- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Mass-Lowell                 </td>
<td>Mass-Lowell                 </td>
<td>Mass-Lowell                 </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Mercer                      </td>
<td>Mercer                      </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 5)( 2- 4)</td>
<td>Mercer                      </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Merrimack                   </td>
<td>Merrimack                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Merrimack                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Michigan                    </td>
<td>Michigan                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Michigan                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Monmouth                    </td>
<td>Monmouth                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 2- 1) ( 2- 1)</td>
<td>Monmouth                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Mt St Marys                 </td>
<td>Mt St Marys                 </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2)</td>
<td>Mt St Marys                 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>NJIT                        </td>
<td>NJIT                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 1) ( 1- 1)</td>
<td>NJIT                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>No Carolina                 </td>
<td>No Carolina                 </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>No Carolina                 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Notre Dame                  </td>
<td>Notre Dame                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Notre Dame                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Ohio State                  </td>
<td>Ohio State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Ohio State                  &nbsp 3- 0 vs  0- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Princeton                   </td>
<td>Princeton                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Princeton                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Providence                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Queens                      </td>
<td>Queens                      </td>
<td>Queens                      </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Quinnipiac                  </td>
<td>Quinnipiac                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Quinnipiac                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Richmond                    </td>
<td>Richmond                    </td>
<td>Richmond                    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Rob Morris                  </td>
<td>Rob Morris                  </td>
<td>Rob Morris                  </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Rutgers                     </td>
<td>Rutgers                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Rutgers                     </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Sacred Heart                </td>
<td>Sacred Heart                </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Sacred Heart                </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Siena                       </td>
<td>Siena                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Siena                       </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>St B'venture                </td>
<td>St B'venture                </td>
<td>St B'venture                </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>St Johns                    </td>
<td>St Johns                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>St Johns                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>St Josephs                  </td>
<td>St Josephs                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>St Josephs                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Stony Brook                 </td>
<td>Stony Brook                 </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0)</td>
<td>Stony Brook                 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Syracuse                    </td>
<td>Syracuse                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Syracuse                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Towson                      </td>
<td>Towson                      </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Towson                      </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Utah                        </td>
<td>Utah                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Utah                        &nbsp 2- 0 vs  0- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Vermont                     </td>
<td>Vermont                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Vermont                     </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Villanova                   </td>
<td>Villanova                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Villanova                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Virginia                    </td>
<td>Virginia                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Virginia                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>VMI                         </td>
<td>VMI                         </td>
<td>VMI                         </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Wagner                      </td>
<td>Mercyhurst                  </td>
<td>Mercyhurst                  </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Yale                        </td>
<td>Yale                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Yale                        </td>
 </tr>
 </table>
 <BR><H4>PowerWise =            3 </H4><BR>
 <img src="s3s.png" width="50" height="50">
 division Games Only<BR>
Average number of games used in Games Correction  =  14.55<BR><BR>
<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse;margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Bellarmine      ( 8- 9, 89.8)    11-21    <b>  -10.06</b>       8.75       0.87         1.12           -10.29
   0 A Mass-Lowell     ( 4- 9, 88.5)     7-15    <b>  -11.35</b>       7.46       0.87         1.12           -11.73
   0 H Queens          ( 3-11, 87.7)     8- 9      -12.22   <b>    6.59</b>      -0.87         1.12           -14.64
   0 A St B'venture    ( 6-10, 89.1)     9-11      -10.78   <b>    8.03</b>       0.87         1.12           -11.09
   0 A Hampton         ( 0-15, 81.1)    22- 6      -18.75   <b>    1.00</b>       0.87         1.12             2.09
   0 A Richmond        (13- 4, 97.4)     3-23    <b>   -2.49</b>      16.33       0.87         1.12            -1.81
   0 H LIU             ( 9- 4, 91.3)    12-15    <b>   -8.56</b>      10.25      -0.87         1.12           -10.55
   0 A VMI             (10- 4, 90.7)    12-18    <b>   -9.22</b>       9.59       0.87         1.12            -9.35
   0 A Rob Morris      (10- 5, 92.1)     8-17    <b>   -7.79</b>      11.02       0.87         1.12            -7.75
   0 H Cleveland St    ( 4-10, 88.4)    10-13      -11.46   <b>    7.36</b>      -0.87         1.12           -13.79
   0 H Le Moyne        ( 9- 5, 89.8)     7- 8    <b>  -10.10</b>       8.71      -0.87         1.12           -12.27
   0 A Detroit         ( 5- 6, 88.4)    13-14    <b>  -11.46</b>       7.35       0.87         1.12           -11.85
   0 H Wagner          ( 1-13, 85.8)    12-11      -14.11   <b>    4.71</b>      -0.87         1.12             4.30
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -108.74
</pre></td></tr></table>
                    <BR>winning pts =     6.3848   losing points =  -115.1246
<BR><BR>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; <i><b>SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game  Correction.</b></i><BR><BR>          ------------------------------------------------------------------------<BR>          | (W-L PR)                = Won-loss record and power rating           |<BR>          | SCORE                   = game score                                 |<BR>          | SAFE Loss (SLP)         = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |<BR>          | SAFE Win (SWP)          = Points awarded for defeating the opponent  |<BR>          | Home-field Advantage    = goals deducted/awarded for site            |<BR>          | No games correction     = normalzation  based on a ~16 game schedule |<BR>          ------------------------------------------------------------------------<BR>
