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<b>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; --- &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<b>UPDATED: </b>08-05-25     15:01 PDT<BR></b></p>
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<title>  men Fairfield                      1</title> 
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<b>Fairfield           </b>  <img src="020_md1.gif" width="100" height="67"><BR>W-L: (<B>12- 2)  PR =    94.2744</B>
 <H1>Schedule/Results All Games</H1> 

<B> Date  Opponent               Conf/State      (W-L, PR)      Score  </b>
 207 H Lehigh                 Patriot       ( 5-10, 94.1)    10- 7   
 215 A Brown                  Ivy           ( 3-10, 93.1)    11- 5   
 219 H Sacred Heart           MAAC          (12- 3, 92.8)    13-12   
 222 H Manhattan              MAAC          ( 6- 9, 89.6)     8- 7   
 301 H Providence             Big East      ( 7- 8, 93.9)    15- 7   
 304 A St Johns               Big East      ( 4-11, 90.2)    20- 8   
 308 H Mass-Lowell            America East  ( 4- 9, 88.5)    19- 5   
 315 A Hampton                CAA           ( 0-15, 81.1)    29- 4   
 322 H Drexel                 CAA           ( 7- 7, 91.9)    12-11   
 329 A Stony Brook            CAA           ( 7- 7, 92.5)    15-17   
 405 H Hofstra                CAA           ( 8- 6, 92.2)    14-10   
 412 A Delaware               CAA           ( 7- 6, 92.8)    13-10   
 419 A Towson                 CAA           ( 9- 6, 93.8)     9-14   
 426 H Monmouth               CAA           ( 5- 9, 89.8)    14- 8   
</pre></td></tr></table>
</pre></td></tr></table>
 <H2>PREDICTION LIST</H2>

<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse;margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   207 H Lehigh                 10- 7       3     1           1.98
   215 A Brown                  11- 5       6     0    ++     4.65
   219 H Sacred Heart           13-12       1     2          -1.35
   222 H Manhattan               8- 7       1     6    --    -4.00
   301 H Providence             15- 7       8     1    +      3.79
   304 A St Johns               20- 8      12     3           1.79
   308 H Mass-Lowell            19- 5      14     7           0.00
   315 A Hampton                29- 4      25    12           0.00
   322 H Drexel                 12-11       1     3    -     -2.29
   329 A Stony Brook            15-17      -2     1    -     -2.91
   405 H Hofstra                14-10       4     3           1.04
   412 A Delaware               13-10       3     1    +      2.41
   419 A Towson                  9-14      -5     0    --    -4.57
   426 H Monmouth               14- 8       6     5           0.00
</pre></td></tr></table>
 <BR><H2>UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES</H2>

<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse; margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   222 H Manhattan               8- 7       1     6    --    -4.00
   419 A Towson                  9-14      -5     0    --    -4.57
   322 H Drexel                 12-11       1     3    -     -2.29
   329 A Stony Brook            15-17      -2     1    -     -2.91
</pre></td></tr></table>
 <BR><H2>OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES</H2>

<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse; margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   215 A Brown                  11- 5       6     0    ++     4.65
   301 H Providence             15- 7       8     1    +      3.79
   412 A Delaware               13-10       3     1    +      2.41
</pre></td></tr></table>
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<h3> Fairfield                    Evaluation </h3>
<pre>The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: <BR>first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each <BR>other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they <BR>have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.<BR>The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the <BR>record of the loser for all common opponents </pre>
 <table>
 <tr> 
 <th> Opponent </th>
 <th> Who Gets <BR>the Point?</t>
 <th> Head-2-Head<BR>Point </th>
 <th> Common Opponent<BR>Point </th>
 <th> Power Rating<BR>Point</th>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Albany                      </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)</td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Army                        </td>
<td>Army                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Army                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Bellarmine                  </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Binghamton                  </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 2- 1) ( 2- 1)</td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Boston Univ                 </td>
<td>Boston Univ                 </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 3- 0) ( 3- 0)</td>
<td>Boston Univ                 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Brown                       </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Bryant                      </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Fairfield                   &nbsp 4- 0 vs  2- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Bucknell                    </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Canisius                    </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)</td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Cleveland St                </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Colgate                     </td>
<td>Colgate                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Colgate                     </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Cornell                     </td>
<td>Cornell                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)</td>
<td>Cornell                     </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Dartmouth                   </td>
<td>Dartmouth                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Dartmouth                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Delaware                    </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Denver                      </td>
<td>Denver                      </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Denver                      </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Detroit                     </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Drexel                      </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Georgetown                  </td>
<td>Georgetown                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 3- 0) ( 3- 0)</td>
<td>Georgetown                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Hampton                     </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Harvard                     </td>
<td>Harvard                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)</td>
<td>Harvard                     </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>High Point                  </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Hobart                      </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Hofstra                     </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Holy Cross                  </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Fairfield                   &nbsp 4- 0 vs  1- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Iona                        </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Fairfield                   &nbsp 4- 1 vs  1- 4</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)</td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>JHU                         </td>
<td>JHU                         </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>JHU                         </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Lafayette                   </td>
<td>Lafayette                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Lafayette                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Le Moyne                    </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Lehigh                      </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>LIU                         </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Loyola                      </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Fairfield                   &nbsp 2- 1 vs  0- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Manhattan                   </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Marist                      </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Fairfield                   &nbsp 3- 0 vs  1- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Marquette                   </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Maryland                    </td>
<td>Maryland                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Maryland                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Mass-Lowell                 </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Mercer                      </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Fairfield                   &nbsp 3- 0 vs  1- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Mercyhurst                  </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Merrimack                   </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Fairfield                   &nbsp 4- 0 vs  0- 4</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Michigan                    </td>
<td>Michigan                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Michigan                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Monmouth                    </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Mt St Marys                 </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Fairfield                   &nbsp 3- 0 vs  0- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 1) ( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>NJIT                        </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Fairfield                   &nbsp 4- 0 vs  0- 4</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>No Carolina                 </td>
<td>No Carolina                 </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0)</td>
<td>No Carolina                 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Notre Dame                  </td>
<td>Notre Dame                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Notre Dame                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Ohio State                  </td>
<td>Ohio State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Ohio State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)</td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Princeton                   </td>
<td>Princeton                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0)</td>
<td>Princeton                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Queens                      </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 2- 1) ( 2- 1)</td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Quinnipiac                  </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Fairfield                   &nbsp 3- 0 vs  0- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Richmond                    </td>
<td>Richmond                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Richmond                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Rob Morris                  </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Rutgers                     </td>
<td>Rutgers                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 2- 1) ( 2- 1)</td>
<td>Rutgers                     </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Sacred Heart                </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Siena                       </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1)</td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>St B'venture                </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>St Johns                    </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>St Josephs                  </td>
<td>St Josephs                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 4- 1) ( 4- 1)</td>
<td>St Josephs                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Stony Brook                 </td>
<td>Stony Brook                 </td>
<td>Stony Brook                 </td>
<td>    &nbsp
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Syracuse                    </td>
<td>Syracuse                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0)</td>
<td>Syracuse                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Towson                      </td>
<td>Towson                      </td>
<td>Towson                      </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 2- 1) ( 2- 1)</td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Utah                        </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Vermont                     </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)</td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Villanova                   </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 5- 0)( 4- 1)</td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Virginia                    </td>
<td>Virginia                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Virginia                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>VMI                         </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)</td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Wagner                      </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Fairfield                   &nbsp 5- 0 vs  0- 5</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Yale                        </td>
<td>Yale                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)</td>
<td>Yale                        </td>
 </tr>
 </table>
 <BR><H4>PowerWise =           49 </H4><BR>
 <img src="s3s.png" width="50" height="50">
 division Games Only<BR>
Average number of games used in Games Correction  =  14.55<BR><BR>
<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse;margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Lehigh          ( 5-10, 94.1)    10- 7       -5.78   <b>   13.03</b>      -0.87         1.04            12.64
   0 A Brown           ( 3-10, 93.1)    11- 5       -6.84   <b>   11.98</b>       0.87         1.04            13.34
   0 H Sacred Heart    (12- 3, 92.8)    13-12       -7.11   <b>   11.71</b>      -0.87         1.04            11.26
   0 H Manhattan       ( 6- 9, 89.6)     8- 7      -10.31   <b>    8.51</b>      -0.87         1.04             7.94
   0 H Providence      ( 7- 8, 93.9)    15- 7       -5.97   <b>   12.84</b>      -0.87         1.04            12.45
   0 A St Johns        ( 4-11, 90.2)    20- 8       -9.71   <b>    9.11</b>       0.87         1.04            10.36
   0 H Mass-Lowell     ( 4- 9, 88.5)    19- 5      -11.35   <b>    7.46</b>      -0.87         1.04             6.85
   0 A Hampton         ( 0-15, 81.1)    29- 4      -18.75   <b>    1.00</b>       0.87         1.04             1.94
   0 H Drexel          ( 7- 7, 91.9)    12-11       -8.05   <b>   10.77</b>      -0.87         1.04            10.28
   0 A Stony Brook     ( 7- 7, 92.5)    15-17    <b>   -7.40</b>      11.42       0.87         1.04            -6.79
   0 H Hofstra         ( 8- 6, 92.2)    14-10       -7.72   <b>   11.10</b>      -0.87         1.04            10.63
   0 A Delaware        ( 7- 6, 92.8)    13-10       -7.08   <b>   11.73</b>       0.87         1.04            13.09
   0 A Towson          ( 9- 6, 93.8)     9-14    <b>   -6.06</b>      12.75       0.87         1.04            -5.40
   0 H Monmouth        ( 5- 9, 89.8)    14- 8      -10.13   <b>    8.69</b>      -0.87         1.04             8.12
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       106.72
</pre></td></tr></table>
                    <BR>winning pts =   118.9059   losing points =   -12.1861
<BR><BR>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; <i><b>SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game  Correction.</b></i><BR><BR>          ------------------------------------------------------------------------<BR>          | (W-L PR)                = Won-loss record and power rating           |<BR>          | SCORE                   = game score                                 |<BR>          | SAFE Loss (SLP)         = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |<BR>          | SAFE Win (SWP)          = Points awarded for defeating the opponent  |<BR>          | Home-field Advantage    = goals deducted/awarded for site            |<BR>          | No games correction     = normalzation  based on a ~16 game schedule |<BR>          ------------------------------------------------------------------------<BR>
