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<b>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; --- &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<b>UPDATED: </b>08-05-25     15:01 PDT<BR></b></p>
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<title>  men UMass                          1</title> 
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<b>UMass               </b>  <img src="040_md1.gif" width="100" height="67"><BR>W-L: (<B> 9- 6)  PR =    93.5144</B>
 <H1>Schedule/Results All Games</H1> 

<B> Date  Opponent               Conf/State      (W-L, PR)      Score  </b>
 208 H Army                   Patriot       (12- 2, 98.0)     9-16   
 214 H Quinnipiac             MAAC          ( 3-12, 88.2)    19- 5   
 218 H Dartmouth              Ivy           ( 8- 5, 94.5)    11- 7   
 222 H NJIT                   America East  ( 1-11, 86.5)    12- 4   
 301 A Albany                 America East  ( 8- 8, 93.4)    10- 9   
 308 A Vermont                America East  ( 5- 7, 91.5)    11- 7   
 315 A Rutgers                B1G           ( 7- 9, 95.0)    11- 7   
 318 A Mass-Lowell            America East  ( 4- 9, 88.5)    10- 9   
 322 H Brown                  Ivy           ( 3-10, 93.1)     7- 8   
 329 A St Josephs             Atlantic 10   ( 9- 6, 95.1)    11-10   
 405 H High Point             Atlantic 10   ( 7- 9, 93.0)     9-14   
 412 H St B'venture           Atlantic 10   ( 6-10, 89.1)    15- 4   
 419 A Richmond               Atlantic 10   (13- 4, 97.4)     5-14   
 425 H Hobart                 Atlantic 10   ( 5- 9, 91.4)    15-16   
 501 N Richmond               Atlantic 10   (13- 4, 97.4)     4-14   
</pre></td></tr></table>
</pre></td></tr></table>
 <H2>PREDICTION LIST</H2>

<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse;margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   208 H Army                    9-16      -7    -4          -1.41
   214 H Quinnipiac             19- 5      14     6           0.00
   218 H Dartmouth              11- 7       4     0    ++     4.16
   222 H NJIT                   12- 4       8     8           0.00
   301 A Albany                 10- 9       1    -1           1.71
   308 A Vermont                11- 7       4     1    +      2.87
   315 A Rutgers                11- 7       4    -2    +++    6.31
   318 A Mass-Lowell            10- 9       1     4    -     -3.10
   322 H Brown                   7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.32
   329 A St Josephs             11-10       1    -2    +      3.46
   405 H High Point              9-14      -5     1    ---   -6.34
   412 H St B'venture           15- 4      11     5           0.00
   419 A Richmond                5-14      -9    -5          -0.23
   425 H Hobart                 15-16      -1     3    -     -3.99
   501 N Richmond                4-14     -10    -4          -1.10
</pre></td></tr></table>
 <BR><H2>UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES</H2>

<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse; margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H High Point              9-14      -5     1    ---   -6.34
   318 A Mass-Lowell            10- 9       1     4    -     -3.10
   322 H Brown                   7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.32
   425 H Hobart                 15-16      -1     3    -     -3.99
</pre></td></tr></table>
 <BR><H2>OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES</H2>

<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse; margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 A Rutgers                11- 7       4    -2    +++    6.31
   218 H Dartmouth              11- 7       4     0    ++     4.16
   308 A Vermont                11- 7       4     1    +      2.87
   329 A St Josephs             11-10       1    -2    +      3.46
</pre></td></tr></table>
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<h3> UMass                        Evaluation </h3>
<pre>The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: <BR>first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each <BR>other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they <BR>have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.<BR>The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the <BR>record of the loser for all common opponents </pre>
 <table>
 <tr> 
 <th> Opponent </th>
 <th> Who Gets <BR>the Point?</t>
 <th> Head-2-Head<BR>Point </th>
 <th> Common Opponent<BR>Point </th>
 <th> Power Rating<BR>Point</th>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Albany                      </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Army                        </td>
<td>Army                        </td>
<td>Army                        </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Bellarmine                  </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Binghamton                  </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 5- 0)( 4- 1)</td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Boston Univ                 </td>
<td>Boston Univ                 </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Boston Univ                 &nbsp 2- 0 vs  0- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Brown                       </td>
<td>Brown                       </td>
<td>Brown                       </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Bryant                      </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 5- 1)( 4- 2)</td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Bucknell                    </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3)</td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Canisius                    </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2)</td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Cleveland St                </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Colgate                     </td>
<td>Colgate                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 1) ( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Colgate                     </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Cornell                     </td>
<td>Cornell                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Cornell                     &nbsp 5- 0 vs  2- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Dartmouth                   </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>    &nbsp
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Delaware                    </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Denver                      </td>
<td>Denver                      </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Denver                      </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Detroit                     </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>UMass                       </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Drexel                      </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>UMass                       &nbsp 3- 0 vs  1- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0)</td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0)</td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Georgetown                  </td>
<td>Georgetown                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Georgetown                  &nbsp 3- 1 vs  1- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Hampton                     </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>UMass                       </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Harvard                     </td>
<td>Harvard                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0)</td>
<td>Harvard                     </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>High Point                  </td>
<td>High Point                  </td>
<td>High Point                  </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Hobart                      </td>
<td>Hobart                      </td>
<td>Hobart                      </td>
<td>    &nbsp
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Hofstra                     </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>UMass                       </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Holy Cross                  </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2)</td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Iona                        </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>JHU                         </td>
<td>JHU                         </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>JHU                         </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Lafayette                   </td>
<td>Lafayette                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 1) ( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Lafayette                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Le Moyne                    </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 1) ( 1- 1)</td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Lehigh                      </td>
<td>Lehigh                      </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3)</td>
<td>Lehigh                      </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>LIU                         </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Loyola                      </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)</td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Manhattan                   </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Marist                      </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Marquette                   </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>UMass                       </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Maryland                    </td>
<td>Maryland                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 1) ( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Maryland                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Mass-Lowell                 </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Mercer                      </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)</td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Mercyhurst                  </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>UMass                       &nbsp 2- 1 vs  0- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Merrimack                   </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Michigan                    </td>
<td>Michigan                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0)</td>
<td>Michigan                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Monmouth                    </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Mt St Marys                 </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>UMass                       &nbsp 2- 0 vs  0- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>NJIT                        </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>No Carolina                 </td>
<td>No Carolina                 </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>No Carolina                 &nbsp 2- 1 vs  0- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Notre Dame                  </td>
<td>Notre Dame                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Notre Dame                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Ohio State                  </td>
<td>Ohio State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Ohio State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2)</td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Princeton                   </td>
<td>Princeton                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 4- 0)</td>
<td>Princeton                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)</td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Queens                      </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 1) ( 1- 1)</td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Quinnipiac                  </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Richmond                    </td>
<td>Richmond                    </td>
<td>Richmond                    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Rob Morris                  </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2)</td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Rutgers                     </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Sacred Heart                </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)</td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Siena                       </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>UMass                       &nbsp 3- 0 vs  1- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>St B'venture                </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>St Johns                    </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 3- 1) ( 3- 1)</td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>St Josephs                  </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Stony Brook                 </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Syracuse                    </td>
<td>Syracuse                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Syracuse                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Towson                      </td>
<td>Towson                      </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Towson                      </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 4- 1) ( 4- 1)</td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Utah                        </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>UMass                       &nbsp 2- 0 vs  0- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Vermont                     </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Villanova                   </td>
<td>Villanova                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 1) ( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Villanova                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Virginia                    </td>
<td>Virginia                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1)</td>
<td>Virginia                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>VMI                         </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 1) ( 1- 1)</td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Wagner                      </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>UMass                       &nbsp 2- 0 vs  0- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Yale                        </td>
<td>Yale                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 2- 2) ( 2- 2)</td>
<td>Yale                        </td>
 </tr>
 </table>
 <BR><H4>PowerWise =           45 </H4><BR>
 <img src="s3s.png" width="50" height="50">
 division Games Only<BR>
Average number of games used in Games Correction  =  14.55<BR><BR>
<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse;margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Army            (12- 2, 98.0)     9-16    <b>   -1.93</b>      16.88      -0.87         0.97            -2.71
   0 H Quinnipiac      ( 3-12, 88.2)    19- 5      -11.69   <b>    7.12</b>      -0.87         0.97             6.07
   0 H Dartmouth       ( 8- 5, 94.5)    11- 7       -5.36   <b>   13.45</b>      -0.87         0.97            12.20
   0 H NJIT            ( 1-11, 86.5)    12- 4      -13.37   <b>    5.44</b>      -0.87         0.97             4.44
   0 A Albany          ( 8- 8, 93.4)    10- 9       -6.55   <b>   12.27</b>       0.87         0.97            12.74
   0 A Vermont         ( 5- 7, 91.5)    11- 7       -8.38   <b>   10.43</b>       0.87         0.97            10.95
   0 A Rutgers         ( 7- 9, 95.0)    11- 7       -4.94   <b>   13.87</b>       0.87         0.97            14.29
   0 A Mass-Lowell     ( 4- 9, 88.5)    10- 9      -11.35   <b>    7.46</b>       0.87         0.97             8.07
   0 H Brown           ( 3-10, 93.1)     7- 8       -6.84   <b>   11.98</b>      -0.87         0.97            -7.47
   0 A St Josephs      ( 9- 6, 95.1)    11-10       -4.79   <b>   14.02</b>       0.87         0.97            14.43
   0 H High Point      ( 7- 9, 93.0)     9-14    <b>   -6.86</b>      11.95      -0.87         0.97            -7.49
   0 H St B'venture    ( 6-10, 89.1)    15- 4      -10.78   <b>    8.03</b>      -0.87         0.97             6.95
   0 A Richmond        (13- 4, 97.4)     5-14    <b>   -2.49</b>      16.33       0.87         0.97            -1.57
   0 H Hobart          ( 5- 9, 91.4)    15-16    <b>   -8.51</b>      10.31      -0.87         0.97            -9.09
   0 N Richmond        (13- 4, 97.4)     4-14    <b>   -2.49</b>      16.33      -0.00         0.97            -2.41
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        59.40
</pre></td></tr></table>
                    <BR>winning pts =    90.1482   losing points =   -30.7505
<BR><BR>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; <i><b>SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game  Correction.</b></i><BR><BR>          ------------------------------------------------------------------------<BR>          | (W-L PR)                = Won-loss record and power rating           |<BR>          | SCORE                   = game score                                 |<BR>          | SAFE Loss (SLP)         = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |<BR>          | SAFE Win (SWP)          = Points awarded for defeating the opponent  |<BR>          | Home-field Advantage    = goals deducted/awarded for site            |<BR>          | No games correction     = normalzation  based on a ~16 game schedule |<BR>          ------------------------------------------------------------------------<BR>
