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<b>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; --- &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<b>UPDATED: </b>08-05-25     15:04 PDT<BR></b></p>
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<title>  men Lake Erie                      2</title> 
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<b>Lake Erie           </b>  <img src="036_md2.gif" width="100" height="67"><BR>W-L: (<B> 7- 7)  PR =    88.6932</B>
 <H1>Schedule/Results All Games</H1> 

<B> Date  Opponent               Conf/State      (W-L, PR)      Score  </b>
 215 A Indianapolis           GLVC          ( 7- 8, 94.5)     3-13   
 222 A Lewis                  GLVC          (12- 5, 95.3)     7-16   
 226 A D'Youville             ECC           ( 6- 8, 87.8)     6- 9   
 305 H Seton Hill             GMAC          (18- 1, 97.9)     5-13   
 308 A Thomas More            GMAC          ( 1-11, 83.4)    12- 8   
 311 A Wheeling               GMAC          ( 8- 7, 88.9)     9- 8   
 315 H Davis & Elkins         GMAC          ( 2-15, 80.1)    20- 3   
 318 A Walsh                  GMAC          (10- 8, 90.3)     4-15   
 325 H Northwood              GMAC          ( 5- 9, 87.1)    17- 7   
 329 A Wilmington (DE)        CACC          (11- 5, 92.9)     6-13   
 412 H Malone                 GMAC          ( 5-10, 85.4)    14-10   
 416 A Davenport              GLVC          ( 6- 9, 88.8)     8- 4   
 421 H Tiffin                 GMAC          ( 3- 9, 84.8)     6- 3   
 430 H Walsh                  GMAC          (10- 8, 90.3)     8-10   
</pre></td></tr></table>
</pre></td></tr></table>
 <H2>PREDICTION LIST</H2>

<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse;margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   215 A Indianapolis            3-13     -10    -6           0.00
   222 A Lewis                   7-16      -9    -7           0.00
   226 A D'Youville              6- 9      -3     0    -     -3.24
   305 H Seton Hill              5-13      -8    -9           0.00
   308 A Thomas More            12- 8       4     5          -0.62
   311 A Wheeling                9- 8       1    -1           1.88
   315 H Davis & Elkins         20- 3      17     9           0.00
   318 A Walsh                   4-15     -11    -2    -     -2.76
   325 H Northwood              17- 7      10     2    +      2.71
   329 A Wilmington (DE)         6-13      -7    -5          -0.11
   412 H Malone                 14-10       4     4           0.01
   416 A Davenport               8- 4       4    -1    ++     4.79
   421 H Tiffin                  6- 3       3     5          -1.57
   430 H Walsh                   8-10      -2    -1          -1.09
</pre></td></tr></table>
 <BR><H2>UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES</H2>

<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse; margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   226 A D'Youville              6- 9      -3     0    -     -3.24
   318 A Walsh                   4-15     -11    -2    -     -2.76
</pre></td></tr></table>
 <BR><H2>OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES</H2>

<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse; margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 A Davenport               8- 4       4    -1    ++     4.79
   325 H Northwood              17- 7      10     2    +      2.71
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<h3> Lake Erie                    Evaluation </h3>
<pre>The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: <BR>first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each <BR>other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they <BR>have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.<BR>The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the <BR>record of the loser for all common opponents </pre>
 <table>
 <tr> 
 <th> Opponent </th>
 <th> Who Gets <BR>the Point?</t>
 <th> Head-2-Head<BR>Point </th>
 <th> Common Opponent<BR>Point </th>
 <th> Power Rating<BR>Point</th>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Adams State                 </td>
<td>Lake Erie                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Lake Erie                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Adelphi                     </td>
<td>Adelphi                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Adelphi                     </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Alabama-Huntsville          </td>
<td>Alabama-Huntsville          </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 2) ( 0- 2)</td>
<td>Alabama-Huntsville          </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>American International      </td>
<td>Lake Erie                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Lake Erie                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Anderson (SC)               </td>
<td>Anderson (SC)               </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Anderson (SC)               </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Assumption                  </td>
<td>Assumption                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Assumption                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Barton                      </td>
<td>Barton                      </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Barton                      </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Belmont Abbey               </td>
<td>Belmont Abbey               </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Belmont Abbey               </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Bentley                     </td>
<td>Bentley                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Bentley                     </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Bridgeport                  </td>
<td>Bridgeport                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Bridgeport                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Caldwell                    </td>
<td>Lake Erie                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Lake Erie                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Catawba                     </td>
<td>Catawba                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Catawba                     </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Chestnut Hill               </td>
<td>Chestnut Hill               </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 2) ( 1- 2)</td>
<td>Chestnut Hill               </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Chowan                      </td>
<td>Lake Erie                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Lake Erie                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Coker                       </td>
<td>Coker                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Coker                       </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Colorado Mesa               </td>
<td>Colorado Mesa               </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Colorado Mesa               </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Concordia-Irvine            </td>
<td>Concordia-Irvine            </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Concordia-Irvine            </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>D'Youville                  </td>
<td>D'Youville                  </td>
<td>D'Youville                  </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Davenport                   </td>
<td>Lake Erie                   </td>
<td>Lake Erie                   </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Davis & Elkins              </td>
<td>Lake Erie                   </td>
<td>Lake Erie                   </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>District of Columbia        </td>
<td>Lake Erie                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Lake Erie                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Dominican (CA)              </td>
<td>Dominican (CA)              </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Dominican (CA)              </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Dominican (NY)              </td>
<td>Lake Erie                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Lake Erie                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Embry-Riddle                </td>
<td>Embry-Riddle                </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Embry-Riddle                </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Emmanuel (GA)               </td>
<td>Lake Erie                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Lake Erie                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Emory & Henry               </td>
<td>Lake Erie                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Lake Erie                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Felician                    </td>
<td>Lake Erie                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 2) ( 1- 2)</td>
<td>Lake Erie                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Flagler                     </td>
<td>Flagler                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Flagler                     </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Florida Southern            </td>
<td>Florida Southern            </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Florida Southern            </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Florida Tech                </td>
<td>Florida Tech                </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Florida Tech                </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Franklin Pierce             </td>
<td>Franklin Pierce             </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Franklin Pierce             </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Frostburg State             </td>
<td>Frostburg State             </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 3- 4)( 4- 3)</td>
<td>Frostburg State             </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Georgian Court              </td>
<td>Georgian Court              </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Georgian Court              </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Holy Family                 </td>
<td>Lake Erie                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3)</td>
<td>Lake Erie                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Indianapolis                </td>
<td>Indianapolis                </td>
<td>Indianapolis                </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Lander                      </td>
<td>Lander                      </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Lander                      </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Lees-McRae                  </td>
<td>Lake Erie                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Lake Erie                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Lenoir-Rhyne                </td>
<td>Lenoir-Rhyne                </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Lenoir-Rhyne                </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Lewis                       </td>
<td>Lewis                       </td>
<td>Lewis                       </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Limestone                   </td>
<td>Limestone                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Limestone                   &nbsp 2- 0 vs  0- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Lincoln Memorial            </td>
<td>Lincoln Memorial            </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Lincoln Memorial            </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Lynn                        </td>
<td>Lynn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Lynn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Malone                      </td>
<td>Lake Erie                   </td>
<td>Lake Erie                   </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Mars Hill                   </td>
<td>Mars Hill                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)</td>
<td>Mars Hill                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Maryville                   </td>
<td>Maryville                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1)</td>
<td>Maryville                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Mercy                       </td>
<td>Mercy                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Mercy                       </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Molloy                      </td>
<td>Molloy                      </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Molloy                      &nbsp 2- 0 vs  0- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Montevallo                  </td>
<td>Montevallo                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Montevallo                  &nbsp 4- 0 vs  2- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Mount Olive                 </td>
<td>Mount Olive                 </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Mount Olive                 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Newberry                    </td>
<td>Newberry                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 2) ( 0- 2)</td>
<td>Newberry                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>North Greenville            </td>
<td>North Greenville            </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>North Greenville            </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Northwood                   </td>
<td>Lake Erie                   </td>
<td>Lake Erie                   </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Pace                        </td>
<td>Pace                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Pace                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Palm Beach Atlantic         </td>
<td>Palm Beach Atlantic         </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Palm Beach Atlantic         </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Post                        </td>
<td>Post                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Post                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Quincy                      </td>
<td>Quincy                      </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 2- 2) ( 2- 2)</td>
<td>Quincy                      </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Roberts Wesleyan            </td>
<td>Roberts Wesleyan            </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2)</td>
<td>Roberts Wesleyan            </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Rockhurst                   </td>
<td>Rockhurst                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Rockhurst                   &nbsp 3- 0 vs  1- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Rollins                     </td>
<td>Rollins                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Rollins                     </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Seton Hill                  </td>
<td>Seton Hill                  </td>
<td>Seton Hill                  </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Shorter                     </td>
<td>Lake Erie                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Lake Erie                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Southern New Hampshire      </td>
<td>Southern New Hampshire      </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Southern New Hampshire      </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>St Anselm                   </td>
<td>St Anselm                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>St Anselm                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>St Leo                      </td>
<td>St Leo                      </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>St Leo                      </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>St Michaels                 </td>
<td>St Michaels                 </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>St Michaels                 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>St Thomas Aquinas           </td>
<td>Lake Erie                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Lake Erie                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Tampa                       </td>
<td>Tampa                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Tampa                       &nbsp 2- 0 vs  0- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Thomas More                 </td>
<td>Lake Erie                   </td>
<td>Lake Erie                   </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Tiffin                      </td>
<td>Lake Erie                   </td>
<td>Lake Erie                   </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Tusculum                    </td>
<td>Lake Erie                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Lake Erie                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Virginia State              </td>
<td>Lake Erie                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Lake Erie                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Walsh                       </td>
<td>Walsh                       </td>
<td>Walsh                       </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Westminster (UT)            </td>
<td>Westminster (UT)            </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 1) ( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Westminster (UT)            </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Wheeling                    </td>
<td>Lake Erie                   </td>
<td>Lake Erie                   </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>William Jewell              </td>
<td>Lake Erie                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3)</td>
<td>Lake Erie                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Wilmington (DE)             </td>
<td>Wilmington (DE)             </td>
<td>Wilmington (DE)             </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Wingate                     </td>
<td>Wingate                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Wingate                     </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Young Harris                </td>
<td>Lake Erie                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Lake Erie                   </td>
 </tr>
 </table>
 <BR><H4>PowerWise =           24 </H4><BR>
 <img src="s3s.png" width="50" height="50">
 division Games Only<BR>
Average number of games used in Games Correction  =  14.81<BR><BR>
<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse;margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Indianapolis    ( 7- 8, 94.5)     3-13    <b>   -5.39</b>      19.71       0.67         1.06            -4.99
   0 A Lewis           (12- 5, 95.3)     7-16    <b>   -4.65</b>      20.45       0.67         1.06            -4.21
   0 A D'Youville      ( 6- 8, 87.8)     6- 9    <b>  -12.11</b>      12.98       0.67         1.06           -12.11
   0 H Seton Hill      (18- 1, 97.9)     5-13    <b>   -2.03</b>      23.06      -0.67         1.06            -2.85
   0 A Thomas More     ( 1-11, 83.4)    12- 8      -16.50   <b>    8.60</b>       0.67         1.06             9.80
   0 A Wheeling        ( 8- 7, 88.9)     9- 8      -10.99   <b>   14.10</b>       0.67         1.06            15.62
   0 H Davis & Elkins  ( 2-15, 80.1)    20- 3      -19.77   <b>    5.32</b>      -0.67         1.06             4.93
   0 A Walsh           (10- 8, 90.3)     4-15    <b>   -9.63</b>      15.47       0.67         1.06            -9.48
   0 H Northwood       ( 5- 9, 87.1)    17- 7      -12.83   <b>   12.26</b>      -0.67         1.06            12.27
   0 A Wilmington (DE  (11- 5, 92.9)     6-13    <b>   -6.98</b>      18.12       0.67         1.06            -6.68
   0 H Malone          ( 5-10, 85.4)    14-10      -14.53   <b>   10.56</b>      -0.67         1.06            10.47
   0 A Davenport       ( 6- 9, 88.8)     8- 4      -11.08   <b>   14.01</b>       0.67         1.06            15.53
   0 H Tiffin          ( 3- 9, 84.8)     6- 3      -15.11   <b>    9.98</b>      -0.67         1.06             9.86
   0 H Walsh           (10- 8, 90.3)     8-10    <b>   -9.63</b>      15.47      -0.67         1.06           -10.89
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        27.26
</pre></td></tr></table>
                    <BR>winning pts =    78.4724   losing points =   -51.2168
<BR><BR>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; <i><b>SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game  Correction.</b></i><BR><BR>          ------------------------------------------------------------------------<BR>          | (W-L PR)                = Won-loss record and power rating           |<BR>          | SCORE                   = game score                                 |<BR>          | SAFE Loss (SLP)         = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |<BR>          | SAFE Win (SWP)          = Points awarded for defeating the opponent  |<BR>          | Home-field Advantage    = goals deducted/awarded for site            |<BR>          | No games correction     = normalzation  based on a ~16 game schedule |<BR>          ------------------------------------------------------------------------<BR>
