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<b>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; --- &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<b>UPDATED: </b>08-05-25     15:01 PDT<BR></b></p>
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<title>  men Penn                           1</title> 
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<b>Penn                </b>  <img src="053_md1.gif" width="100" height="67"><BR>W-L: (<B> 4-10)  PR =    94.3227</B>
 <H1>Schedule/Results All Games</H1> 

<B> Date  Opponent               Conf/State      (W-L, PR)      Score  </b>
 215 A Georgetown             Big East      (10- 6, 95.6)     6- 8   
 218 H Albany                 America East  ( 8- 8, 93.4)    14- 8   
 222 A Delaware               CAA           ( 7- 6, 92.8)    10- 2   
 228 A No Carolina            ACC           (11- 4, 97.4)     8-16   
 302 A Duke                   ACC           (13- 5, 97.2)     6-11   
 308 H Villanova              Big East      ( 9- 6, 94.0)    11- 8   
 315 H Brown                  Ivy           ( 3-10, 93.1)     9- 8   
 318 H St Josephs             Atlantic 10   ( 9- 6, 95.1)    10-11   
 322 H Dartmouth              Ivy           ( 8- 5, 94.5)     8- 9   
 329 A Cornell                Ivy           (14- 1, 99.9)     5-15   
 405 H Yale                   Ivy           ( 5- 8, 94.8)    11-14   
 412 A Harvard                Ivy           (10- 5, 96.7)     6-13   
 419 H Princeton              Ivy           (13- 3, 97.9)     8-12   
 426 A Notre Dame             ACC           ( 9- 4, 98.6)     8-10   
</pre></td></tr></table>
</pre></td></tr></table>
 <H2>PREDICTION LIST</H2>

<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse;margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   215 A Georgetown              6- 8      -2    -2           0.15
   218 H Albany                 14- 8       6     2    +      3.17
   222 A Delaware               10- 2       8     1    ++     4.36
   228 A No Carolina             8-16      -8    -4          -1.05
   302 A Duke                    6-11      -5    -4          -1.26
   308 H Villanova              11- 8       3     1           1.78
   315 H Brown                   9- 8       1     2          -1.13
   318 H St Josephs             10-11      -1     0          -1.08
   322 H Dartmouth               8- 9      -1     1          -1.65
   329 A Cornell                 5-15     -10    -6           0.00
   405 H Yale                   11-14      -3     0    -     -3.38
   412 A Harvard                 6-13      -7    -3          -1.71
   419 H Princeton               8-12      -4    -3          -1.32
   426 A Notre Dame              8-10      -2    -5    +      3.00
</pre></td></tr></table>
 <BR><H2>UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES</H2>

<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse; margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Yale                   11-14      -3     0    -     -3.38
</pre></td></tr></table>
 <BR><H2>OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES</H2>

<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse; margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   222 A Delaware               10- 2       8     1    ++     4.36
   218 H Albany                 14- 8       6     2    +      3.17
   426 A Notre Dame              8-10      -2    -5    +      3.00
</pre></td></tr></table>
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<h3> Penn                         Evaluation </h3>
<pre>The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: <BR>first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each <BR>other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they <BR>have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.<BR>The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the <BR>record of the loser for all common opponents </pre>
 <table>
 <tr> 
 <th> Opponent </th>
 <th> Who Gets <BR>the Point?</t>
 <th> Head-2-Head<BR>Point </th>
 <th> Common Opponent<BR>Point </th>
 <th> Power Rating<BR>Point</th>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Albany                      </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Army                        </td>
<td>Army                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Army                        &nbsp 2- 0 vs  0- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Bellarmine                  </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Binghamton                  </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)</td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Boston Univ                 </td>
<td>Boston Univ                 </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 2) ( 1- 2)</td>
<td>Boston Univ                 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Brown                       </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Bryant                      </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Bucknell                    </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Canisius                    </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Cleveland St                </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Colgate                     </td>
<td>Colgate                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0)</td>
<td>Colgate                     </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Cornell                     </td>
<td>Cornell                     </td>
<td>Cornell                     </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Dartmouth                   </td>
<td>Dartmouth                   </td>
<td>Dartmouth                   </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Delaware                    </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Denver                      </td>
<td>Denver                      </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3)</td>
<td>Denver                      </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Detroit                     </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Drexel                      </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Penn                        &nbsp 3- 1 vs  0- 4</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)</td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Georgetown                  </td>
<td>Georgetown                  </td>
<td>Georgetown                  </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Hampton                     </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Harvard                     </td>
<td>Harvard                     </td>
<td>Harvard                     </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>High Point                  </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 3) ( 1- 3)</td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Hobart                      </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4)</td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Hofstra                     </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 2) ( 1- 2)</td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Holy Cross                  </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Iona                        </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 2) ( 0- 2)</td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>JHU                         </td>
<td>JHU                         </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>JHU                         </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Lafayette                   </td>
<td>Lafayette                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Lafayette                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Le Moyne                    </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Lehigh                      </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 2) ( 1- 2)</td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>LIU                         </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Loyola                      </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Manhattan                   </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Marist                      </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Marquette                   </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4)</td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Maryland                    </td>
<td>Maryland                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Maryland                    &nbsp 3- 0 vs  1- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1)</td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Mass-Lowell                 </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Mercer                      </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Mercyhurst                  </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Merrimack                   </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Michigan                    </td>
<td>Michigan                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 4) ( 0- 4)</td>
<td>Michigan                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Monmouth                    </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 1) ( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Mt St Marys                 </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>NJIT                        </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>No Carolina                 </td>
<td>No Carolina                 </td>
<td>No Carolina                 </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Notre Dame                  </td>
<td>Notre Dame                  </td>
<td>Notre Dame                  </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Ohio State                  </td>
<td>Ohio State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Ohio State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Penn State                  &nbsp 3- 1 vs  1- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Princeton                   </td>
<td>Princeton                   </td>
<td>Princeton                   </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Penn                        &nbsp 2- 4 vs  0- 6</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Queens                      </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Quinnipiac                  </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Richmond                    </td>
<td>Richmond                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Richmond                    &nbsp 2- 3 vs  0- 5</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Rob Morris                  </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Rutgers                     </td>
<td>Rutgers                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 2) ( 0- 2)</td>
<td>Rutgers                     </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Sacred Heart                </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Siena                       </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)</td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>St B'venture                </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>St Johns                    </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Penn                        &nbsp 2- 1 vs  0- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>St Josephs                  </td>
<td>St Josephs                  </td>
<td>St Josephs                  </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Stony Brook                 </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)</td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Syracuse                    </td>
<td>Syracuse                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 5)( 1- 4)</td>
<td>Syracuse                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Towson                      </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 2) ( 1- 2)</td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Utah                        </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)</td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Vermont                     </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3)</td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Villanova                   </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Virginia                    </td>
<td>Virginia                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 3) ( 1- 3)</td>
<td>Virginia                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>VMI                         </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Wagner                      </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Yale                        </td>
<td>Yale                        </td>
<td>Yale                        </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 </table>
 <BR><H4>PowerWise =           52 </H4><BR>
 <img src="s3s.png" width="50" height="50">
 division Games Only<BR>
Average number of games used in Games Correction  =  14.55<BR><BR>
<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse;margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Georgetown      (10- 6, 95.6)     6- 8    <b>   -4.29</b>      14.52       0.87         1.04            -3.56
   0 H Albany          ( 8- 8, 93.4)    14- 8       -6.55   <b>   12.27</b>      -0.87         1.04            11.85
   0 A Delaware        ( 7- 6, 92.8)    10- 2       -7.08   <b>   11.73</b>       0.87         1.04            13.09
   0 A No Carolina     (11- 4, 97.4)     8-16    <b>   -2.50</b>      16.32       0.87         1.04            -1.69
   0 A Duke            (13- 5, 97.2)     6-11    <b>   -2.70</b>      16.11       0.87         1.04            -1.91
   0 H Villanova       ( 9- 6, 94.0)    11- 8       -5.93   <b>   12.88</b>      -0.87         1.04            12.48
   0 H Brown           ( 3-10, 93.1)     9- 8       -6.84   <b>   11.98</b>      -0.87         1.04            11.54
   0 H St Josephs      ( 9- 6, 95.1)    10-11    <b>   -4.79</b>      14.02      -0.87         1.04            -5.88
   0 H Dartmouth       ( 8- 5, 94.5)     8- 9    <b>   -5.36</b>      13.45      -0.87         1.04            -6.47
   0 A Cornell         (14- 1, 99.9)     5-15    <b>   -0.00</b>      18.81       0.87         1.04            -0.90
   0 H Yale            ( 5- 8, 94.8)    11-14    <b>   -5.09</b>      13.72      -0.87         1.04            -6.19
   0 A Harvard         (10- 5, 96.7)     6-13    <b>   -3.15</b>      15.66       0.87         1.04            -2.37
   0 H Princeton       (13- 3, 97.9)     8-12    <b>   -2.03</b>      16.79      -0.87         1.04            -3.01
   0 A Notre Dame      ( 9- 4, 98.6)     8-10    <b>   -1.32</b>      17.49       0.87         1.04            -0.47
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        16.50
</pre></td></tr></table>
                    <BR>winning pts =    48.9582   losing points =   -32.4590
<BR><BR>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; <i><b>SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game  Correction.</b></i><BR><BR>          ------------------------------------------------------------------------<BR>          | (W-L PR)                = Won-loss record and power rating           |<BR>          | SCORE                   = game score                                 |<BR>          | SAFE Loss (SLP)         = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |<BR>          | SAFE Win (SWP)          = Points awarded for defeating the opponent  |<BR>          | Home-field Advantage    = goals deducted/awarded for site            |<BR>          | No games correction     = normalzation  based on a ~16 game schedule |<BR>          ------------------------------------------------------------------------<BR>
