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<b>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; --- &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<b>UPDATED: </b>08-05-25     15:01 PDT<BR></b></p>
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<title>  men Duke                           1</title> 
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<b>Duke                </b>  <img src="019_md1.gif" width="100" height="67"><BR>W-L: (<B>13- 5)  PR =    97.1975</B>
 <H1>Schedule/Results All Games</H1> 

<B> Date  Opponent               Conf/State      (W-L, PR)      Score  </b>
 201 H Bellarmine             ASUN          ( 8- 9, 89.8)    26- 7   
 208 A Jacksonville           ASUN          ( 9- 5, 92.5)    14- 9   
 215 H St Josephs             Atlantic 10   ( 9- 6, 95.1)    11- 9   
 222 H Michigan               B1G           ( 7- 7, 95.8)     8- 7   
 228 H Princeton              Ivy           (13- 3, 97.9)    14-15   
 302 H Penn                   Ivy           ( 4-10, 94.3)    11- 6   
 308 H Air Force              ASUN          ( 8- 8, 92.2)    16-11   
 312 H Providence             Big East      ( 7- 8, 93.9)    16-10   
 315 A Richmond               Atlantic 10   (13- 4, 97.4)    13-12   
 322 N Denver                 Big East      ( 7- 7, 94.4)     5-13   
 329 A Notre Dame             ACC           ( 9- 4, 98.6)     7-14   
 405 A Boston Univ            Patriot       (11- 5, 95.4)    11- 8   
 412 H No Carolina            ACC           (11- 4, 97.4)     7- 8   
 419 H Syracuse               ACC           (12- 5, 97.6)    11- 7   
 426 A Virginia               ACC           ( 6- 8, 95.8)    10- 9   
 502 N No Carolina            ACC           (11- 4, 97.4)    14- 7   
 504 N Syracuse               ACC           (12- 5, 97.6)     8- 9   
 510 H Georgetown             Big East      (10- 6, 95.6)     9- 6   
</pre></td></tr></table>
</pre></td></tr></table>
 <H2>PREDICTION LIST</H2>

<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse;margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   201 H Bellarmine             26- 7      19     8           0.00
   208 A Jacksonville           14- 9       5     4           1.14
   215 H St Josephs             11- 9       2     3          -0.96
   222 H Michigan                8- 7       1     2          -1.30
   228 H Princeton              14-15      -1     0          -1.19
   302 H Penn                   11- 6       5     4           1.26
   308 H Air Force              16-11       5     6           0.00
   312 H Providence             16-10       6     4           0.87
   315 A Richmond               13-12       1    -1    +      2.08
   322 N Denver                  5-13      -8     3    ---   -7.83
   329 A Notre Dame              7-14      -7    -2    -     -2.75
   405 A Boston Univ            11- 8       3     1    +      2.09
   412 H No Carolina             7- 8      -1     1          -1.66
   419 H Syracuse               11- 7       4     0    +      3.51
   426 A Virginia               10- 9       1     1           0.50
   502 N No Carolina            14- 7       7     0    ++     5.21
   504 N Syracuse                8- 9      -1     0          -0.63
   510 H Georgetown              9- 6       3     2           0.54
</pre></td></tr></table>
 <BR><H2>UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES</H2>

<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse; margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 N Denver                  5-13      -8     3    ---   -7.83
   329 A Notre Dame              7-14      -7    -2    -     -2.75
</pre></td></tr></table>
 <BR><H2>OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES</H2>

<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse; margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 N No Carolina            14- 7       7     0    ++     5.21
   315 A Richmond               13-12       1    -1    +      2.08
   405 A Boston Univ            11- 8       3     1    +      2.09
   419 H Syracuse               11- 7       4     0    +      3.51
</pre></td></tr></table>
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<h3> Duke                         Evaluation </h3>
<pre>The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: <BR>first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each <BR>other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they <BR>have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.<BR>The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the <BR>record of the loser for all common opponents </pre>
 <table>
 <tr> 
 <th> Opponent </th>
 <th> Who Gets <BR>the Point?</t>
 <th> Head-2-Head<BR>Point </th>
 <th> Common Opponent<BR>Point </th>
 <th> Power Rating<BR>Point</th>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Albany                      </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Duke                        &nbsp 3- 0 vs  0- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Army                        </td>
<td>Army                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Army                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Bellarmine                  </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Binghamton                  </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Duke                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Boston Univ                 </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Brown                       </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Duke                        &nbsp 4- 1 vs  1- 4</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Bryant                      </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Bucknell                    </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Canisius                    </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Duke                        &nbsp 2- 0 vs  0- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Cleveland St                </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2)</td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Colgate                     </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Duke                        &nbsp 3- 1 vs  0- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Cornell                     </td>
<td>Cornell                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Cornell                     &nbsp 5- 0 vs  3- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Dartmouth                   </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 1) ( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Delaware                    </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Denver                      </td>
<td>Denver                      </td>
<td>Denver                      </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Detroit                     </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Drexel                      </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Georgetown                  </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Hampton                     </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Duke                        &nbsp 2- 0 vs  0- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Harvard                     </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 5- 2) ( 5- 1)</td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>High Point                  </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Duke                        &nbsp 6- 1 vs  1- 5</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Hobart                      </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Duke                        &nbsp 3- 0 vs  0- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Hofstra                     </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Holy Cross                  </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Duke                        &nbsp 2- 0 vs  0- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Iona                        </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>JHU                         </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Duke                        &nbsp 5- 3 vs  3- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Lafayette                   </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1)</td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Le Moyne                    </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Duke                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Lehigh                      </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Duke                        &nbsp 2- 1 vs  0- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>LIU                         </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Loyola                      </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Duke                        &nbsp 3- 0 vs  0- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Manhattan                   </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Marist                      </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Duke                        &nbsp 2- 1 vs  0- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Marquette                   </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Duke                        &nbsp 5- 2 vs  3- 4</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Maryland                    </td>
<td>Maryland                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 4- 3)( 5- 1)</td>
<td>Maryland                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Mass-Lowell                 </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Duke                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Mercer                      </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Duke                        &nbsp 3- 0 vs  0- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Mercyhurst                  </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Duke                        &nbsp 2- 0 vs  0- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Merrimack                   </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Michigan                    </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Monmouth                    </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Duke                        &nbsp 2- 0 vs  0- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Mt St Marys                 </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Duke                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>NJIT                        </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Duke                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>No Carolina                 </td>
<td>No Carolina                 </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 6- 3) ( 6- 2)</td>
<td>No Carolina                 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Notre Dame                  </td>
<td>Notre Dame                  </td>
<td>Notre Dame                  </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Ohio State                  </td>
<td>Ohio State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Ohio State                  &nbsp 6- 0 vs  4- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 1) ( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Princeton                   </td>
<td>Princeton                   </td>
<td>Princeton                   </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Queens                      </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Duke                        &nbsp 3- 0 vs  0- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Quinnipiac                  </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)</td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Richmond                    </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Rob Morris                  </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Duke                        &nbsp 3- 0 vs  1- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Rutgers                     </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Duke                        &nbsp 2- 1 vs  0- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Sacred Heart                </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Siena                       </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>St B'venture                </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Duke                        &nbsp 3- 0 vs  0- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>St Johns                    </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Duke                        &nbsp 3- 1 vs  0- 4</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>St Josephs                  </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Stony Brook                 </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Syracuse                    </td>
<td>Syracuse                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 3- 2) ( 3- 1)</td>
<td>Syracuse                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Towson                      </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Duke                        &nbsp 3- 2 vs  0- 4</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Utah                        </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Duke                        &nbsp 5- 2 vs  2- 4</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Vermont                     </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2)</td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Villanova                   </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Duke                        &nbsp 4- 1 vs  2- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Virginia                    </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>VMI                         </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Duke                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Wagner                      </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Duke                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Yale                        </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1)</td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
 </tr>
 </table>
 <BR><H4>PowerWise =           66 </H4><BR>
 <img src="s3s.png" width="50" height="50">
 division Games Only<BR>
Average number of games used in Games Correction  =  14.55<BR><BR>
<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse;margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Bellarmine      ( 8- 9, 89.8)    26- 7      -10.06   <b>    8.75</b>      -0.87         0.86             6.75
   0 A Jacksonville    ( 9- 5, 92.5)    14- 9       -7.43   <b>   11.38</b>       0.87         0.86            10.48
   0 H St Josephs      ( 9- 6, 95.1)    11- 9       -4.79   <b>   14.02</b>      -0.87         0.86            11.25
   0 H Michigan        ( 7- 7, 95.8)     8- 7       -4.14   <b>   14.68</b>      -0.87         0.86            11.82
   0 H Princeton       (13- 3, 97.9)    14-15    <b>   -2.03</b>      16.79      -0.87         0.86            -2.48
   0 H Penn            ( 4-10, 94.3)    11- 6       -5.58   <b>   13.24</b>      -0.87         0.86            10.58
   0 H Air Force       ( 8- 8, 92.2)    16-11       -7.72   <b>   11.10</b>      -0.87         0.86             8.75
   0 H Providence      ( 7- 8, 93.9)    16-10       -5.97   <b>   12.84</b>      -0.87         0.86            10.25
   0 A Richmond        (13- 4, 97.4)    13-12       -2.49   <b>   16.33</b>       0.87         0.86            14.71
   0 N Denver          ( 7- 7, 94.4)     5-13    <b>   -5.53</b>      13.29      -0.00         0.86            -4.73
   0 A Notre Dame      ( 9- 4, 98.6)     7-14    <b>   -1.32</b>      17.49       0.87         0.86            -0.39
   0 A Boston Univ     (11- 5, 95.4)    11- 8       -4.48   <b>   14.34</b>       0.87         0.86            13.01
   0 H No Carolina     (11- 4, 97.4)     7- 8    <b>   -2.50</b>      16.32      -0.87         0.86            -2.88
   0 H Syracuse        (12- 5, 97.6)    11- 7       -2.33   <b>   16.48</b>      -0.87         0.86            13.36
   0 A Virginia        ( 6- 8, 95.8)    10- 9       -4.07   <b>   14.74</b>       0.87         0.86            13.35
   0 N No Carolina     (11- 4, 97.4)    14- 7       -2.50   <b>   16.32</b>      -0.00         0.86            13.96
   0 N Syracuse        (12- 5, 97.6)     8- 9    <b>   -2.33</b>      16.48      -0.00         0.86            -1.99
   0 H Georgetown      (10- 6, 95.6)     9- 6       -4.29   <b>   14.52</b>      -0.87         0.86            11.68
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       137.50
</pre></td></tr></table>
                    <BR>winning pts =   149.9653   losing points =   -12.4656
<BR><BR>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; <i><b>SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game  Correction.</b></i><BR><BR>          ------------------------------------------------------------------------<BR>          | (W-L PR)                = Won-loss record and power rating           |<BR>          | SCORE                   = game score                                 |<BR>          | SAFE Loss (SLP)         = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |<BR>          | SAFE Win (SWP)          = Points awarded for defeating the opponent  |<BR>          | Home-field Advantage    = goals deducted/awarded for site            |<BR>          | No games correction     = normalzation  based on a ~16 game schedule |<BR>          ------------------------------------------------------------------------<BR>
