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<b>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; --- &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<b>UPDATED: </b>08-05-25     15:01 PDT<BR></b></p>
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<title>  men Merrimack                      1</title> 
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<b>Merrimack           </b>  <img src="044_md1.gif" width="100" height="67"><BR>W-L: (<B> 3-10)  PR =    88.3326</B>
 <H1>Schedule/Results All Games</H1> 

<B> Date  Opponent               Conf/State      (W-L, PR)      Score  </b>
 201 A Bucknell               Patriot       ( 5- 9, 92.5)     7-23   
 207 A Mass-Lowell            America East  ( 4- 9, 88.5)     9-14   
 215 H Bryant                 America East  ( 9- 4, 93.0)     4-19   
 225 H Providence             Big East      ( 7- 8, 93.9)     7-18   
 304 A Holy Cross             Patriot       ( 4-11, 90.6)    11-10   
 308 H Manhattan              MAAC          ( 6- 9, 89.6)    11-12   
 315 A Canisius               MAAC          ( 6-10, 88.8)     9-10   
 322 H Sacred Heart           MAAC          (12- 3, 92.8)     8-13   
 326 H Siena                  MAAC          (11- 5, 94.1)     8-16   
 405 A Iona                   MAAC          ( 2-13, 86.5)    19- 6   
 412 H Mt St Marys            MAAC          ( 4-10, 88.7)    12-13   
 419 A Marist                 MAAC          ( 8- 8, 91.3)     7-15   
 423 A Quinnipiac             MAAC          ( 3-12, 88.2)    10- 9   
</pre></td></tr></table>
</pre></td></tr></table>
 <H2>PREDICTION LIST</H2>

<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse;margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   201 A Bucknell                7-23     -16    -5           0.00
   207 A Mass-Lowell             9-14      -5    -1    -     -3.92
   215 H Bryant                  4-19     -15    -4          -1.22
   225 H Providence              7-18     -11    -5          -0.27
   304 A Holy Cross             11-10       1    -3    ++     4.14
   308 H Manhattan              11-12      -1     0          -0.61
   315 A Canisius                9-10      -1    -1           0.35
   322 H Sacred Heart            8-13      -5    -4          -1.41
   326 H Siena                   8-16      -8    -5          -0.15
   405 A Iona                   19- 6      13     1    ++     4.04
   412 H Mt St Marys            12-13      -1     1          -1.53
   419 A Marist                  7-15      -8    -4          -1.17
   423 A Quinnipiac             10- 9       1    -1           1.74
</pre></td></tr></table>
 <BR><H2>UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES</H2>

<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse; margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   207 A Mass-Lowell             9-14      -5    -1    -     -3.92
</pre></td></tr></table>
 <BR><H2>OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES</H2>

<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse; margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 A Holy Cross             11-10       1    -3    ++     4.14
   405 A Iona                   19- 6      13     1    ++     4.04
</pre></td></tr></table>
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<h3> Merrimack                    Evaluation </h3>
<pre>The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: <BR>first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each <BR>other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they <BR>have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.<BR>The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the <BR>record of the loser for all common opponents </pre>
 <table>
 <tr> 
 <th> Opponent </th>
 <th> Who Gets <BR>the Point?</t>
 <th> Head-2-Head<BR>Point </th>
 <th> Common Opponent<BR>Point </th>
 <th> Power Rating<BR>Point</th>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0)</td>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Albany                      </td>
<td>Albany                      </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Albany                      &nbsp 2- 1 vs  0- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Army                        </td>
<td>Army                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0)</td>
<td>Army                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Bellarmine                  </td>
<td>Bellarmine                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Bellarmine                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Binghamton                  </td>
<td>Binghamton                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3)</td>
<td>Binghamton                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Boston Univ                 </td>
<td>Boston Univ                 </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Boston Univ                 &nbsp 3- 0 vs  1- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Brown                       </td>
<td>Brown                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Brown                       &nbsp 2- 0 vs  0- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Bryant                      </td>
<td>Bryant                      </td>
<td>Bryant                      </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Bucknell                    </td>
<td>Bucknell                    </td>
<td>Bucknell                    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Canisius                    </td>
<td>Canisius                    </td>
<td>Canisius                    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Cleveland St                </td>
<td>Cleveland St                </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Cleveland St                </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Colgate                     </td>
<td>Colgate                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 1) ( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Colgate                     </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Cornell                     </td>
<td>Cornell                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Cornell                     </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Dartmouth                   </td>
<td>Dartmouth                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Dartmouth                   &nbsp 3- 0 vs  1- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Delaware                    </td>
<td>Delaware                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Delaware                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Denver                      </td>
<td>Denver                      </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1)</td>
<td>Denver                      </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Detroit                     </td>
<td>Detroit                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Detroit                     </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Drexel                      </td>
<td>Drexel                      </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Drexel                      </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Fairfield                   &nbsp 4- 0 vs  0- 4</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Georgetown                  </td>
<td>Georgetown                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Georgetown                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Hampton                     </td>
<td>Merrimack                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Merrimack                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Harvard                     </td>
<td>Harvard                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Harvard                     </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>High Point                  </td>
<td>High Point                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>High Point                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Hobart                      </td>
<td>Hobart                      </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Hobart                      &nbsp 2- 0 vs  0- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Hofstra                     </td>
<td>Hofstra                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 1) ( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Hofstra                     </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Holy Cross                  </td>
<td>Merrimack                   </td>
<td>Merrimack                   </td>
<td>    &nbsp
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Iona                        </td>
<td>Merrimack                   </td>
<td>Merrimack                   </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0)</td>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>JHU                         </td>
<td>JHU                         </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>JHU                         </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Lafayette                   </td>
<td>Lafayette                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0)</td>
<td>Lafayette                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Le Moyne                    </td>
<td>Le Moyne                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Le Moyne                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Lehigh                      </td>
<td>Lehigh                      </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 1) ( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Lehigh                      </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>LIU                         </td>
<td>LIU                         </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>LIU                         &nbsp 3- 0 vs  1- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Loyola                      </td>
<td>Loyola                      </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1)</td>
<td>Loyola                      </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Manhattan                   </td>
<td>Manhattan                   </td>
<td>Manhattan                   </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Marist                      </td>
<td>Marist                      </td>
<td>Marist                      </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Marquette                   </td>
<td>Marquette                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Marquette                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Maryland                    </td>
<td>Maryland                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Maryland                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0)</td>
<td>UMass                       </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Mass-Lowell                 </td>
<td>Mass-Lowell                 </td>
<td>Mass-Lowell                 </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Mercer                      </td>
<td>Merrimack                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Merrimack                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Mercyhurst                  </td>
<td>Merrimack                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Merrimack                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Michigan                    </td>
<td>Michigan                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Michigan                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Monmouth                    </td>
<td>Monmouth                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Monmouth                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Mt St Marys                 </td>
<td>Mt St Marys                 </td>
<td>Mt St Marys                 </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0)</td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>NJIT                        </td>
<td>Merrimack                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 2) ( 0- 2)</td>
<td>Merrimack                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>No Carolina                 </td>
<td>No Carolina                 </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>No Carolina                 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Notre Dame                  </td>
<td>Notre Dame                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Notre Dame                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Ohio State                  </td>
<td>Ohio State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Ohio State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Princeton                   </td>
<td>Princeton                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Princeton                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Queens                      </td>
<td>Merrimack                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 2) ( 1- 2)</td>
<td>Merrimack                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Quinnipiac                  </td>
<td>Merrimack                   </td>
<td>Merrimack                   </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Richmond                    </td>
<td>Richmond                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Richmond                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Rob Morris                  </td>
<td>Rob Morris                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Rob Morris                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Rutgers                     </td>
<td>Rutgers                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Rutgers                     </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Sacred Heart                </td>
<td>Sacred Heart                </td>
<td>Sacred Heart                </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Siena                       </td>
<td>Siena                       </td>
<td>Siena                       </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>St B'venture                </td>
<td>St B'venture                </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>St B'venture                &nbsp 2- 1 vs  0- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>St Johns                    </td>
<td>St Johns                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 2) ( 1- 2)</td>
<td>St Johns                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>St Josephs                  </td>
<td>St Josephs                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>St Josephs                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Stony Brook                 </td>
<td>Stony Brook                 </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1)</td>
<td>Stony Brook                 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Syracuse                    </td>
<td>Syracuse                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Syracuse                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Towson                      </td>
<td>Towson                      </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Towson                      </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2)</td>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Utah                        </td>
<td>Utah                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Utah                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Vermont                     </td>
<td>Vermont                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Vermont                     &nbsp 3- 0 vs  0- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Villanova                   </td>
<td>Villanova                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Villanova                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Virginia                    </td>
<td>Virginia                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Virginia                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>VMI                         </td>
<td>VMI                         </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>VMI                         </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Wagner                      </td>
<td>Merrimack                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 4) ( 0- 4)</td>
<td>Merrimack                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Yale                        </td>
<td>Yale                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Yale                        </td>
 </tr>
 </table>
 <BR><H4>PowerWise =            9 </H4><BR>
 <img src="s3s.png" width="50" height="50">
 division Games Only<BR>
Average number of games used in Games Correction  =  14.55<BR><BR>
<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse;margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Bucknell        ( 5- 9, 92.5)     7-23    <b>   -7.42</b>      11.40       0.87         1.12            -7.33
   0 A Mass-Lowell     ( 4- 9, 88.5)     9-14    <b>  -11.35</b>       7.46       0.87         1.12           -11.73
   0 H Bryant          ( 9- 4, 93.0)     4-19    <b>   -6.93</b>      11.89      -0.87         1.12            -8.72
   0 H Providence      ( 7- 8, 93.9)     7-18    <b>   -5.97</b>      12.84      -0.87         1.12            -7.65
   0 A Holy Cross      ( 4-11, 90.6)    11-10       -9.30   <b>    9.52</b>       0.87         1.12            11.62
   0 H Manhattan       ( 6- 9, 89.6)    11-12    <b>  -10.31</b>       8.51      -0.87         1.12           -12.50
   0 A Canisius        ( 6-10, 88.8)     9-10      -11.08   <b>    7.73</b>       0.87         1.12           -11.43
   0 H Sacred Heart    (12- 3, 92.8)     8-13    <b>   -7.11</b>      11.71      -0.87         1.12            -8.92
   0 H Siena           (11- 5, 94.1)     8-16    <b>   -5.85</b>      12.97      -0.87         1.12            -7.51
   0 A Iona            ( 2-13, 86.5)    19- 6      -13.39   <b>    5.42</b>       0.87         1.12             7.04
   0 H Mt St Marys     ( 4-10, 88.7)    12-13      -11.23   <b>    7.58</b>      -0.87         1.12           -13.54
   0 A Marist          ( 8- 8, 91.3)     7-15    <b>   -8.61</b>      10.21       0.87         1.12            -8.66
   0 A Quinnipiac      ( 3-12, 88.2)    10- 9      -11.69   <b>    7.12</b>       0.87         1.12             8.94
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -70.40
</pre></td></tr></table>
                    <BR>winning pts =    27.5935   losing points =   -97.9947
<BR><BR>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; <i><b>SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game  Correction.</b></i><BR><BR>          ------------------------------------------------------------------------<BR>          | (W-L PR)                = Won-loss record and power rating           |<BR>          | SCORE                   = game score                                 |<BR>          | SAFE Loss (SLP)         = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |<BR>          | SAFE Win (SWP)          = Points awarded for defeating the opponent  |<BR>          | Home-field Advantage    = goals deducted/awarded for site            |<BR>          | No games correction     = normalzation  based on a ~16 game schedule |<BR>          ------------------------------------------------------------------------<BR>
