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<b>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; --- &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<b>UPDATED: </b>08-05-25     15:01 PDT<BR></b></p>
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<title>  men Navy                           1</title> 
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<b>Navy                </b>  <img src="048_md1.gif" width="100" height="67"><BR>W-L: (<B> 8- 7)  PR =    93.9765</B>
 <H1>Schedule/Results All Games</H1> 

<B> Date  Opponent               Conf/State      (W-L, PR)      Score  </b>
 201 A High Point             Atlantic 10   ( 7- 9, 93.0)    14-10   
 208 H Iona                   MAAC          ( 2-13, 86.5)    22- 9   
 216 H Towson                 CAA           ( 9- 6, 93.8)    14-10   
 222 A Penn State             B1G           (11- 4, 98.1)     7-13   
 301 H Boston Univ            Patriot       (11- 5, 95.4)    13- 9   
 307 H Lehigh                 Patriot       ( 5-10, 94.1)     8-13   
 315 H JHU                    B1G           ( 6- 8, 95.7)     9-12   
 318 H Le Moyne               NEC           ( 9- 5, 89.8)     8- 5   
 322 A Holy Cross             Patriot       ( 4-11, 90.6)     9- 8   
 329 A Colgate                Patriot       (10- 8, 96.6)     9-14   
 404 H Lafayette              Patriot       (10- 6, 94.3)    14- 8   
 412 H Army                   Patriot       (12- 2, 98.0)    11-12   
 418 A Loyola                 Patriot       ( 3-11, 93.3)    11-16   
 425 A Bucknell               Patriot       ( 5- 9, 92.5)    14-11   
 429 A Lafayette              Patriot       (10- 6, 94.3)     5- 9   
</pre></td></tr></table>
</pre></td></tr></table>
 <H2>PREDICTION LIST</H2>

<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse;margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   201 A High Point             14-10       4     0    +      3.93
   208 H Iona                   22- 9      13     8           0.00
   216 H Towson                 14-10       4     1    +      2.99
   222 A Penn State              7-13      -6    -5           0.00
   301 H Boston Univ            13- 9       4    -1    ++     4.58
   307 H Lehigh                  8-13      -5     1    --    -5.72
   315 H JHU                     9-12      -3    -1    -     -2.13
   318 H Le Moyne                8- 5       3     5    -     -2.00
   322 A Holy Cross              9- 8       1     3          -1.51
   329 A Colgate                 9-14      -5    -3          -1.53
   404 H Lafayette              14- 8       6     1    ++     4.49
   412 H Army                   11-12      -1    -3    +      2.13
   418 A Loyola                 11-16      -5     0    --    -4.77
   425 A Bucknell               14-11       3     1    +      2.37
   429 A Lafayette               5- 9      -4    -1    -     -2.78
</pre></td></tr></table>
 <BR><H2>UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES</H2>

<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse; margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 H Lehigh                  8-13      -5     1    --    -5.72
   418 A Loyola                 11-16      -5     0    --    -4.77
   315 H JHU                     9-12      -3    -1    -     -2.13
   318 H Le Moyne                8- 5       3     5    -     -2.00
   429 A Lafayette               5- 9      -4    -1    -     -2.78
</pre></td></tr></table>
 <BR><H2>OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES</H2>

<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse; margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 H Boston Univ            13- 9       4    -1    ++     4.58
   404 H Lafayette              14- 8       6     1    ++     4.49
   201 A High Point             14-10       4     0    +      3.93
   216 H Towson                 14-10       4     1    +      2.99
   412 H Army                   11-12      -1    -3    +      2.13
   425 A Bucknell               14-11       3     1    +      2.37
</pre></td></tr></table>
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<h3> Navy                         Evaluation </h3>
<pre>The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: <BR>first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each <BR>other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they <BR>have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.<BR>The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the <BR>record of the loser for all common opponents </pre>
 <table>
 <tr> 
 <th> Opponent </th>
 <th> Who Gets <BR>the Point?</t>
 <th> Head-2-Head<BR>Point </th>
 <th> Common Opponent<BR>Point </th>
 <th> Power Rating<BR>Point</th>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Navy                        &nbsp 2- 1 vs  0- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Albany                      </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Army                        </td>
<td>Army                        </td>
<td>Army                        </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Bellarmine                  </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Navy                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Binghamton                  </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Boston Univ                 </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    &nbsp
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Brown                       </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Bryant                      </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Bucknell                    </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Canisius                    </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Cleveland St                </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Colgate                     </td>
<td>Colgate                     </td>
<td>Colgate                     </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Cornell                     </td>
<td>Cornell                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Cornell                     </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Dartmouth                   </td>
<td>Dartmouth                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)</td>
<td>Dartmouth                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Delaware                    </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Denver                      </td>
<td>Denver                      </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Denver                      </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Detroit                     </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Drexel                      </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Duke                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 1) ( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Georgetown                  </td>
<td>Georgetown                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1)</td>
<td>Georgetown                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Hampton                     </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Navy                        &nbsp 2- 0 vs  0- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Harvard                     </td>
<td>Harvard                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 1) ( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Harvard                     </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>High Point                  </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Hobart                      </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1)</td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Hofstra                     </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Holy Cross                  </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Iona                        </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)</td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>JHU                         </td>
<td>JHU                         </td>
<td>JHU                         </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Lafayette                   </td>
<td>Lafayette                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Lafayette                   &nbsp 6- 2 vs  4- 4</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Le Moyne                    </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Lehigh                      </td>
<td>Lehigh                      </td>
<td>Lehigh                      </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>LIU                         </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)</td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Loyola                      </td>
<td>Loyola                      </td>
<td>Loyola                      </td>
<td>    &nbsp
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Manhattan                   </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Marist                      </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Marquette                   </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Navy                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Maryland                    </td>
<td>Maryland                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Maryland                    &nbsp 3- 0 vs  0- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)</td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Mass-Lowell                 </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Mercer                      </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)</td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Mercyhurst                  </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Merrimack                   </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1)</td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Michigan                    </td>
<td>Michigan                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Michigan                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Monmouth                    </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Navy                        &nbsp 2- 0 vs  0- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Mt St Marys                 </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>NJIT                        </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>No Carolina                 </td>
<td>No Carolina                 </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1)</td>
<td>No Carolina                 </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Notre Dame                  </td>
<td>Notre Dame                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Notre Dame                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Ohio State                  </td>
<td>Ohio State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Ohio State                  &nbsp 2- 0 vs  0- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Penn                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Princeton                   </td>
<td>Princeton                   </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Princeton                   &nbsp 3- 0 vs  1- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0)</td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Queens                      </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Navy                        &nbsp 2- 0 vs  0- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Quinnipiac                  </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Richmond                    </td>
<td>Richmond                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0)</td>
<td>Richmond                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Rob Morris                  </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Navy                        &nbsp 2- 1 vs  0- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Rutgers                     </td>
<td>Rutgers                     </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Rutgers                     &nbsp 3- 2 vs  0- 5</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Sacred Heart                </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)</td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Siena                       </td>
<td>Siena                       </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Siena                       </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>St B'venture                </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Navy                        &nbsp 3- 0 vs  1- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>St Johns                    </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Navy                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>St Josephs                  </td>
<td>St Josephs                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>St Josephs                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Stony Brook                 </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Syracuse                    </td>
<td>Syracuse                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Syracuse                    &nbsp 3- 0 vs  1- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Towson                      </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Navy                        &nbsp 2- 0 vs  0- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Utah                        </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Navy                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Vermont                     </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Navy                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Villanova                   </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 3) ( 0- 3)</td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Virginia                    </td>
<td>Virginia                    </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 4- 1)</td>
<td>Virginia                    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>VMI                         </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Navy                        &nbsp 3- 0 vs  1- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Wagner                      </td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Navy                        </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Yale                        </td>
<td>Yale                        </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 2) ( 0- 2)</td>
<td>Yale                        </td>
 </tr>
 </table>
 <BR><H4>PowerWise =           48 </H4><BR>
 <img src="s3s.png" width="50" height="50">
 division Games Only<BR>
Average number of games used in Games Correction  =  14.55<BR><BR>
<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse;margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A High Point      ( 7- 9, 93.0)    14-10       -6.86   <b>   11.95</b>       0.87         0.97            12.43
   0 H Iona            ( 2-13, 86.5)    22- 9      -13.39   <b>    5.42</b>      -0.87         0.97             4.42
   0 H Towson          ( 9- 6, 93.8)    14-10       -6.06   <b>   12.75</b>      -0.87         0.97            11.52
   0 A Penn State      (11- 4, 98.1)     7-13    <b>   -1.77</b>      17.04       0.87         0.97            -0.88
   0 H Boston Univ     (11- 5, 95.4)    13- 9       -4.48   <b>   14.34</b>      -0.87         0.97            13.06
   0 H Lehigh          ( 5-10, 94.1)     8-13       -5.78   <b>   13.03</b>      -0.87         0.97            -6.44
   0 H JHU             ( 6- 8, 95.7)     9-12    <b>   -4.19</b>      14.63      -0.87         0.97            -4.90
   0 H Le Moyne        ( 9- 5, 89.8)     8- 5      -10.10   <b>    8.71</b>      -0.87         0.97             7.61
   0 A Holy Cross      ( 4-11, 90.6)     9- 8       -9.30   <b>    9.52</b>       0.87         0.97            10.07
   0 A Colgate         (10- 8, 96.6)     9-14    <b>   -3.32</b>      15.49       0.87         0.97            -2.38
   0 H Lafayette       (10- 6, 94.3)    14- 8       -5.57   <b>   13.24</b>      -0.87         0.97            12.00
   0 H Army            (12- 2, 98.0)    11-12    <b>   -1.93</b>      16.88      -0.87         0.97            -2.71
   0 A Loyola          ( 3-11, 93.3)    11-16       -6.56   <b>   12.25</b>       0.87         0.97            -5.52
   0 A Bucknell        ( 5- 9, 92.5)    14-11       -7.42   <b>   11.40</b>       0.87         0.97            11.89
   0 A Lafayette       (10- 6, 94.3)     5- 9    <b>   -5.57</b>      13.24       0.87         0.97            -4.56
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        55.60
</pre></td></tr></table>
                    <BR>winning pts =    83.0058   losing points =   -27.4022
<BR><BR>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; <i><b>SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game  Correction.</b></i><BR><BR>          ------------------------------------------------------------------------<BR>          | (W-L PR)                = Won-loss record and power rating           |<BR>          | SCORE                   = game score                                 |<BR>          | SAFE Loss (SLP)         = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |<BR>          | SAFE Win (SWP)          = Points awarded for defeating the opponent  |<BR>          | Home-field Advantage    = goals deducted/awarded for site            |<BR>          | No games correction     = normalzation  based on a ~16 game schedule |<BR>          ------------------------------------------------------------------------<BR>
