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<b>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; --- &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<b>UPDATED: </b>08-05-25     15:01 PDT<BR></b></p>
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<title>  men Penn State                     1</title> 
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<b>Penn State          </b>  <img src="054_md1.gif" width="100" height="67"><BR>W-L: (<B>11- 4)  PR =    98.1293</B>
 <H1>Schedule/Results All Games</H1> 

<B> Date  Opponent               Conf/State      (W-L, PR)      Score  </b>
 201 H Colgate                Patriot       (10- 8, 96.6)    14- 9   
 209 A Villanova              Big East      ( 9- 6, 94.0)    15- 5   
 215 H Princeton              Ivy           (13- 3, 97.9)    10-11   
 222 H Navy                   Patriot       ( 8- 7, 94.0)    13- 7   
 301 A Yale                   Ivy           ( 5- 8, 94.8)    15- 9   
 308 A Cornell                Ivy           (14- 1, 99.9)    13-12   
 312 H Rob Morris             NEC           (10- 5, 92.1)    22- 8   
 323 H Ohio State             B1G           (14- 3, 97.6)     9-13   
 329 A Maryland               B1G           (11- 3, 99.0)     8-13   
 406 A Michigan               B1G           ( 7- 7, 95.8)    11- 8   
 412 H JHU                    B1G           ( 6- 8, 95.7)    10- 4   
 418 H Rutgers                B1G           ( 7- 9, 95.0)    12- 4   
 426 H JHU                    B1G           ( 6- 8, 95.7)    13-12   
 501 N Maryland               B1G           (11- 3, 99.0)     8-10   
 510 H Colgate                Patriot       (10- 8, 96.6)    12-10   
</pre></td></tr></table>
</pre></td></tr></table>
 <H2>PREDICTION LIST</H2>

<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse;margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   201 H Colgate                14- 9       5     2    +      2.58
   209 A Villanova              15- 5      10     3           1.70
   215 H Princeton              10-11      -1     1    -     -2.12
   222 H Navy                   13- 7       6     5           0.00
   301 A Yale                   15- 9       6     2    +      2.54
   308 A Cornell                13-12       1    -3    +      3.64
   312 H Rob Morris             22- 8      14     7           0.00
   323 H Ohio State              9-13      -4     1    --    -5.36
   329 A Maryland                8-13      -5    -2    -     -3.30
   406 A Michigan               11- 8       3     1           1.50
   412 H JHU                    10- 4       6     3           1.72
   418 H Rutgers                12- 4       8     4           0.96
   426 H JHU                    13-12       1     3    -     -2.28
   501 N Maryland                8-10      -2    -1          -1.16
   510 H Colgate                12-10       2     2          -0.42
</pre></td></tr></table>
 <BR><H2>UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES</H2>

<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse; margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 H Ohio State              9-13      -4     1    --    -5.36
   215 H Princeton              10-11      -1     1    -     -2.12
   329 A Maryland                8-13      -5    -2    -     -3.30
   426 H JHU                    13-12       1     3    -     -2.28
</pre></td></tr></table>
 <BR><H2>OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES</H2>

<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse; margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   201 H Colgate                14- 9       5     2    +      2.58
   301 A Yale                   15- 9       6     2    +      2.54
   308 A Cornell                13-12       1    -3    +      3.64
</pre></td></tr></table>
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<h3> Penn State                   Evaluation </h3>
<pre>The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: <BR>first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each <BR>other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they <BR>have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.<BR>The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the <BR>record of the loser for all common opponents </pre>
 <table>
 <tr> 
 <th> Opponent </th>
 <th> Who Gets <BR>the Point?</t>
 <th> Head-2-Head<BR>Point </th>
 <th> Common Opponent<BR>Point </th>
 <th> Power Rating<BR>Point</th>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Air Force                   </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)</td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Albany                      </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Penn State                  &nbsp 3- 0 vs  1- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Army                        </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 4- 0) ( 4- 0)</td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Bellarmine                  </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 1) ( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Binghamton                  </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Boston Univ                 </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Brown                       </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Penn State                  &nbsp 3- 1 vs  0- 4</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Bryant                      </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Bucknell                    </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Canisius                    </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Penn State                  &nbsp 2- 0 vs  0- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Cleveland St                </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Penn State                  &nbsp 2- 1 vs  0- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Colgate                     </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Cornell                     </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Dartmouth                   </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Penn State                  &nbsp 2- 1 vs  0- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Delaware                    </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Denver                      </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Penn State                  &nbsp 4- 1 vs  0- 5</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Detroit                     </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2)</td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Drexel                      </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Duke                        </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 1) ( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Fairfield                   </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Georgetown                  </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Hampton                     </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Harvard                     </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Penn State                  &nbsp 4- 1 vs  2- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>High Point                  </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Hobart                      </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Penn State                  &nbsp 3- 0 vs  0- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Hofstra                     </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Holy Cross                  </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Penn State                  &nbsp 2- 0 vs  0- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Iona                        </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Jacksonville                </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>JHU                         </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Lafayette                   </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Penn State                  &nbsp 2- 0 vs  0- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Le Moyne                    </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1)</td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Lehigh                      </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Penn State                  &nbsp 5- 1 vs  3- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>LIU                         </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Penn State                  &nbsp 2- 0 vs  0- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Loyola                      </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Penn State                  &nbsp 4- 1 vs  1- 4</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Manhattan                   </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Marist                      </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Marquette                   </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Penn State                  &nbsp 2- 0 vs  0- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Maryland                    </td>
<td>Maryland                    </td>
<td>Maryland                    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>UMass                       </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Mass-Lowell                 </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Mercer                      </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Mercyhurst                  </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Merrimack                   </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Michigan                    </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Monmouth                    </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Mt St Marys                 </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Navy                        </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>NJIT                        </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>No Carolina                 </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 2- 1) ( 2- 1)</td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Notre Dame                  </td>
<td>Notre Dame                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 2) ( 1- 2)</td>
<td>Notre Dame                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Ohio State                  </td>
<td>Ohio State                  </td>
<td>Ohio State                  </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Penn                        </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Penn State                  &nbsp 3- 1 vs  1- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Princeton                   </td>
<td>Princeton                   </td>
<td>Princeton                   </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Providence                  </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Queens                      </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Quinnipiac                  </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Richmond                    </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2)</td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Rob Morris                  </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Rutgers                     </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Sacred Heart                </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Siena                       </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>St B'venture                </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>St Johns                    </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Penn State                  &nbsp 2- 0 vs  0- 2</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>St Josephs                  </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 2- 0) ( 2- 0)</td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Stony Brook                 </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 1- 0) ( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Syracuse                    </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2)</td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Towson                      </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>Penn State                  &nbsp 2- 1 vs  0- 3</td>
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>UMBC                        </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Utah                        </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0)</td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Vermont                     </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>tied -&nbsp( 0- 1) ( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Villanova                   </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Virginia                    </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3)</td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>VMI                         </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Wagner                      </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    </td>
<td>insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1)</td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
 </tr>
 <tr>
<td>Yale                        </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>Penn State                  </td>
<td>    &nbsp
<td>    </td>
 </tr>
 </table>
 <BR><H4>PowerWise =           72 </H4><BR>
 <img src="s3s.png" width="50" height="50">
 division Games Only<BR>
Average number of games used in Games Correction  =  14.55<BR><BR>
<table cellpadding=0 cellspacing=0 border=2 width=485 bgcolor="#ffffff" bordercolor=black style="border-collapse:collapse;margin-left: 1em"><tr style=font-size:16px><td> <pre>
 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Colgate         (10- 8, 96.6)    14- 9       -3.32   <b>   15.49</b>      -0.87         1.04            15.19
   0 A Villanova       ( 9- 6, 94.0)    15- 5       -5.93   <b>   12.88</b>       0.87         1.04            14.28
   0 H Princeton       (13- 3, 97.9)    10-11    <b>   -2.03</b>      16.79      -0.87         1.04            -3.01
   0 H Navy            ( 8- 7, 94.0)    13- 7       -5.92   <b>   12.89</b>      -0.87         1.04            12.49
   0 A Yale            ( 5- 8, 94.8)    15- 9       -5.09   <b>   13.72</b>       0.87         1.04            15.15
   0 A Cornell         (14- 1, 99.9)    13-12       -0.00   <b>   18.81</b>       0.87         1.04            20.45
   0 H Rob Morris      (10- 5, 92.1)    22- 8       -7.79   <b>   11.02</b>      -0.87         1.04            10.55
   0 H Ohio State      (14- 3, 97.6)     9-13    <b>   -2.27</b>      16.55      -0.87         1.04            -3.25
   0 A Maryland        (11- 3, 99.0)     8-13    <b>   -0.93</b>      17.88       0.87         1.04            -0.07
   0 A Michigan        ( 7- 7, 95.8)    11- 8       -4.14   <b>   14.68</b>       0.87         1.04            16.15
   0 H JHU             ( 6- 8, 95.7)    10- 4       -4.19   <b>   14.63</b>      -0.87         1.04            14.30
   0 H Rutgers         ( 7- 9, 95.0)    12- 4       -4.94   <b>   13.87</b>      -0.87         1.04            13.51
   0 H JHU             ( 6- 8, 95.7)    13-12       -4.19   <b>   14.63</b>      -0.87         1.04            14.30
   0 N Maryland        (11- 3, 99.0)     8-10    <b>   -0.93</b>      17.88      -0.00         1.04            -0.97
   0 H Colgate         (10- 8, 96.6)    12-10       -3.32   <b>   15.49</b>      -0.87         1.04            15.19
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       154.27
</pre></td></tr></table>
                    <BR>winning pts =   161.5698   losing points =    -7.3016
<BR><BR>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; <i><b>SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game  Correction.</b></i><BR><BR>          ------------------------------------------------------------------------<BR>          | (W-L PR)                = Won-loss record and power rating           |<BR>          | SCORE                   = game score                                 |<BR>          | SAFE Loss (SLP)         = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |<BR>          | SAFE Win (SWP)          = Points awarded for defeating the opponent  |<BR>          | Home-field Advantage    = goals deducted/awarded for site            |<BR>          | No games correction     = normalzation  based on a ~16 game schedule |<BR>          ------------------------------------------------------------------------<BR>
